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Penn State Nittany Lions

00 · 00 BIG TEN
Way too early
WEEK 8 · 2026
27%
Big Ten title game
8%
Win the Big Ten
60%
Make the playoff
<1%
First-round bye
avg seed 9.0
Way-too-early read: bye week — pure scoreboard-watching, whenever it arrives.
Playoff odds by week

If Penn State wins out: 32% to win the Big Ten, >99% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Penn State's path
Big swingsthese move your odds the most
TBD
SAT OCT 24
Houston at Utah

Houston winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Utah 92%
TBD
SAT OCT 24
Iowa at Minnesota

Minnesota visits your schedule in week 11 — keep them ranked.

Iowa 82%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
SAT OCT 24
Indiana at Michigan

Big Ten race: Indiana losing helps your spot in the standings.

Indiana 80%
TBD
SAT OCT 24
Oregon at Illinois

Big Ten race: Oregon losing helps your spot in the standings.

Oregon 88%
TBD
SAT OCT 24
USC at Wisconsin

Wisconsin winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

USC 80%
TBD
SAT OCT 24
Rutgers at Northwestern

Rutgers visits your schedule in week 12 — keep them ranked.

Northwestern 65%
48 more games that don't move your needle
Middle Tennessee at Florida International
Missouri State at Delaware
South Alabama at Marshall
Liberty at Kennesaw State
New Mexico State at Sam Houston
East Carolina at Memphis
James Madison at App State
Duke at Virginia
NC State at Stanford
Army at Tulsa
Texas A&M at Alabama
LSU at Auburn
Vanderbilt at Kentucky
Oklahoma at Mississippi State
Tennessee at South Carolina
Ole Miss at Texas
Baylor at Kansas
BYU at UCF
Colorado at Oklahoma State
Iowa State at Arizona
Kansas State at Arizona State
Texas Tech at Cincinnati
West Virginia at TCU
California at SMU
Boston College at Georgia Tech
Pittsburgh at Miami
Syracuse at North Carolina
Virginia Tech at Clemson
Michigan State at UCLA
San Diego State at Colorado State
Utah State at Texas State
Boise State at Washington State
Massachusetts at UConn
Rice at Florida Atlantic
North Texas at Navy
UTSA at Tulane
Air Force at Wyoming
Hawai'i at Northern Illinois
San José State at Nevada
Akron at Kent State
Bowling Green at Buffalo
Eastern Michigan at Ohio
Western Michigan at Toledo
Miami (OH) at Central Michigan
Georgia State at Arkansas State
Louisiana at Southern Miss
Old Dominion at Louisiana Tech
UL Monroe at Troy

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 8, with last season's ratings carried forward — way too early, enjoy responsibly.