Penn State Nittany Lions
0–0 · 0–0 BIG TEN
Way too early
WEEK 2 · 2026
27%
Big Ten title game
8%
Win the Big Ten
60%
Make the playoff
<1%
First-round bye
avg seed 9.0
Way-too-early read: ratings carry last season forward — the portal will have opinions. The week-2 job: beat Temple.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Penn State's pathYour game
TBD
SAT SEP 12
Penn State at Temple
Your game. Beat Temple and your playoff odds are 61%; lose and they drop to 29%.
Penn State 95%
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
TBD
SAT SEP 12
Iowa State at Iowa
Iowa State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Iowa 86%
TBD
SAT SEP 12
Arkansas at Utah
Arkansas winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Utah 90%
TBD
SAT SEP 12
Alabama at Kentucky
Kentucky winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Alabama 85%
TBD
SAT SEP 12
Louisiana at USC
You still play USC in week 6.
USC 94%
…
… · ABC
Ohio State at Texas
Ohio State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Ohio State 71%
41 more games that don't move your needle
Maryland at UConn
Rutgers at Boston College
Southern Miss at Auburn
Western Kentucky at Georgia
Charlotte at Ole Miss
Mississippi State at Minnesota
Missouri at Kansas
Oklahoma at Michigan
Tennessee at Georgia Tech
Arizona State at Texas A&M
Delaware at Vanderbilt
Washington State at Kansas State
Oregon at Oklahoma State
Texas Tech at Oregon State
UCF at Pittsburgh
Arizona at BYU
California at Syracuse
Duke at Illinois
Georgia Southern at Clemson
Old Dominion at Virginia Tech
Wake Forest at Purdue
Eastern Michigan at Michigan State
Bowling Green at Nebraska
San Diego State at UCLA
Utah State at Washington
Memphis at Boise State
UTSA at Texas State
South Florida at Army
Navy at Florida Atlantic
UNLV at North Texas
Tulsa at Sam Houston
UL Monroe at UAB
App State at East Carolina
South Alabama at Tulane
New Mexico State at Hawai'i
Buffalo at Florida International
Jacksonville State at Ohio
Louisiana Tech at LSU
Georgia State at Kennesaw State
Middle Tennessee at Marshall
Rice at Notre Dame
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 2, with last season's ratings carried forward — way too early, enjoy responsibly.