The Big Ten race
18 teams · two title-game spots
Way too early
WEEK 1 · 2026
17 teams are still alive for the two title-game spots.
Most likely championship game
how often each matchup comes up in the simsStandings & projections
records entering week 1; projections from the remaining schedule| Team | Conf | Overall | Proj. final | Title game | Champ | Playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Indiana | 0–0 | 0–0 | 7.9–1.1 | 58% | 36% | 100% |
 Ohio State | 0–0 | 0–0 | 7.1–1.9 | 44% | 27% | >99% |
 Oregon | 0–0 | 0–0 | 7.3–1.7 | 39% | 18% | >99% |
 Penn State | 0–0 | 0–0 | 7.3–1.7 | 27% | 8% | 60% |
 Iowa | 0–0 | 0–0 | 6.6–2.4 | 17% | 6% | 46% |
 USC | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5.3–3.7 | 7% | 2% | 18% |
 Washington | 0–0 | 0–0 | 4.8–4.2 | 4% | <1% | 2% |
 Michigan | 0–0 | 0–0 | 4.7–4.3 | 3% | <1% | 2% |
 Illinois | 0–0 | 0–0 | 4.4–4.6 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
 Wisconsin | 0–0 | 0–0 | 4.1–4.9 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
 Nebraska | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3.0–6.0 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
 Michigan State | 0–0 | 0–0 | 2.8–6.2 | <1% | <1% | 0% |
 Minnesota | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3.2–5.8 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
 Rutgers | 0–0 | 0–0 | 2.9–6.1 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
 Maryland | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3.0–6.0 | <1% | <1% | 0% |
 Northwestern | 0–0 | 0–0 | 2.4–6.6 | <1% | <1% | 0% |
 Purdue | 0–0 | 0–0 | 1.6–7.4 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 UCLA | 0–0 | 0–0 | 2.7–6.3 | <1% | 0% | 0% |
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 1, with last season's ratings carried forward — way too early, enjoy responsibly.