The Mountain West race
9 teams · two title-game spots
Way too early
WEEK 1 · 2026
9 teams are still alive for the two title-game spots.
Most likely championship game
how often each matchup comes up in the simsStandings & projections
records entering week 1; projections from the remaining schedule| Team | Conf | Overall | Proj. final | Title game | Champ | Playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 UNLV | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5.4–1.6 | 71% | 49% | 2% |
 New Mexico | 0–0 | 0–0 | 4.5–2.5 | 43% | 20% | <1% |
 Hawai'i | 0–0 | 0–0 | 4.4–2.6 | 37% | 16% | 0% |
 Air Force | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3.8–3.2 | 19% | 7% | 0% |
 Wyoming | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3.2–3.8 | 11% | 3% | 0% |
 Nevada | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3.1–3.9 | 9% | 3% | 0% |
 Northern Illinois | 0–0 | 0–0 | 2.9–4.1 | 6% | 2% | 0% |
 San José State | 0–0 | 0–0 | 2.3–5.7 | 3% | <1% | 0% |
 UTEP | 0–0 | 0–0 | 2.3–4.7 | 2% | <1% | 0% |
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 1, with last season's ratings carried forward — way too early, enjoy responsibly.