๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

#17Tennessee Volunteers

5โ€“2 ยท 2โ€“2 SEC
In the books
WEEK 9 ยท 2025
The Week 9 recap

Tennessee beat Kentucky. Playoff odds moved from 16% to 29%.

Your game

Tennessee at Kentucky
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playoff chanceEntering16%Win20%Loss4%
Tennessee
Tennessee 73%Kentucky 27%
Kentucky
Final ยท Tennessee 56โ€“34 KentuckyWish granted โœ“

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Tennessee wanted
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Impact 1
Oklahoma State
at
Rooted for
Texas Tech
Final ยท Oklahoma State 0โ€“42 Texas TechWish granted โœ“
Projected 4.3-point playoff boost

Texas Tech won, thinning out the at-large competition for Tennessee's playoff spot.

Entering-week projection16% if Texas Tech won11% with the other result4.3-point differenceTennessee playoff chance
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Impact 2
Ole Miss
at
Rooted for
Oklahoma
Final ยท Ole Miss 34โ€“26 OklahomaWent the other way โœ—
Projected 2.7-point playoff boost

Ole Miss won instead, so Tennessee did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection17% if Oklahoma won15% with the other result2.7-point differenceTennessee playoff chance
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Impact 3
Michigan
at
Rooted for
Michigan State
Final ยท Michigan 31โ€“20 Michigan StateWent the other way โœ—
Projected 1.9-point playoff boost

Michigan won instead, so Tennessee did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection17% if Michigan State won15% with the other result1.9-point differenceTennessee playoff chance
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Impact 4
Texas A&M
at
Rooted for
LSU
Final ยท Texas A&M 49โ€“25 LSUWent the other way โœ—
Projected 1.3-point playoff boost

Texas A&M won instead, so Tennessee did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection16% if LSU won15% with the other result1.3-point differenceTennessee playoff chance
48 other games had little impact
Missouri at Vanderbilt ยท ESPN
Kennesaw State at Florida International ยท ESPNU
Western Kentucky at Louisiana Tech ยท CBSSN
Middle Tennessee at Delaware ยท ESPN2
Missouri State at New Mexico State ยท CBSSN
South Alabama at Georgia State ยท ESPN2
North Texas at Charlotte ยท ESPN2
California at Virginia Tech ยท ESPN
Boise State at Nevada ยท CBSSN
Northwestern at Nebraska ยท FS1
Rutgers at Purdue ยท BTN
UCLA at Indiana ยท FOX
SMU at Wake Forest ยท The CW Network
Syracuse at Georgia Tech ยท ESPN
Virginia at North Carolina ยท ACC Network
Kansas State at Kansas ยท TNT
App State at Old Dominion ยท ESPNU
South Florida at Memphis ยท ESPN2
Bowling Green at Kent State ยท ESPN+
Ohio at Eastern Michigan ยท CBSSN
Auburn at Arkansas ยท SEC Network
Akron at Buffalo ยท ESPN+
UConn at Rice ยท ESPN+
Utah State at New Mexico
Alabama at South Carolina ยท ABC
Illinois at Washington ยท BTN
Minnesota at Iowa ยท CBS
Toledo at Washington State ยท The CW Network
NC State at Pittsburgh ยท ACC Network
BYU at Iowa State ยท FOX
San Diego State at Fresno State ยท FS1
UL Monroe at Southern Miss ยท ESPN+
Florida Atlantic at Navy ยท CBSSN
Temple at Tulsa ยท ESPN+
Ball State at Northern Illinois ยท ESPN+
Massachusetts at Central Michigan ยท ESPN+
Western Michigan at Miami (OH) ยท ESPN+
Baylor at Cincinnati ยท ESPN2
Texas at Mississippi State ยท SEC Network
TCU at West Virginia ยท ESPN+
Wisconsin at Oregon ยท FS1
Stanford at Miami ยท ESPN
Georgia Southern at Arkansas State ยท ESPN+
Louisiana at Troy ยท ESPN+
Boston College at Louisville ยท ACC Network
Colorado State at Wyoming ยท CBSSN
Houston at Arizona State ยท ESPN2
Colorado at Utah ยท ESPN
The rooting list was:Tennessee, then Texas Tech, Oklahoma, Michigan State, LSU.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 9, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 9). How the model works.