🏈 Fan Watch

#15Tennessee Volunteers

2–0 · 0–0 SEC
In the books
WEEK 3 · 2025
The Week 3 recap

Tennessee lost to Georgia. Playoff odds moved from 21% to 20%.

Your game

Georgia at Tennessee
…
…
ABC
SEC title-game chanceEntering12%Win30%Loss5%
Georgia
Georgia 73%Tennessee 27%
Tennessee
Final · Georgia 44–41 TennesseeWent the other way ✗

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Tennessee wanted
…
…
CBS
Impact 1
USC
at
Rooted for
Purdue
Final · USC 33–17 PurdueWent the other way ✗
Projected 2.2-point playoff boost

USC won instead, so Tennessee did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection23% if Purdue won21% with the other result2.2-point differenceTennessee playoff chance
…
…
ESPN
Impact 2
Rooted for
Arkansas
at
Ole Miss
Final · Arkansas 35–41 Ole MissWent the other way ✗
Projected 2.6-point title-game boost

Ole Miss won instead, so Tennessee did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection14% if Arkansas won11% with the other result2.6-point differenceTennessee SEC title-game chance
…
…
ESPN+
Impact 3
Rooted for
Navy
at
Tulsa
Final · Navy 42–23 TulsaWish granted ✓
Projected 1.6-point playoff boost

Navy won, thinning out the at-large competition for Tennessee's playoff spot.

Entering-week projection21% if Navy won20% with the other result1.6-point differenceTennessee playoff chance
…
…
ESPNU
Impact 4
Eastern Michigan
at
Rooted for
Kentucky
Final · Eastern Michigan 23–48 KentuckyWish granted ✓
Projected 1.4-point playoff boost

Kentucky won and stayed ranked ahead of its Week 9 game against Tennessee.

Entering-week projection21% if Kentucky won20% with the other result1.4-point differenceTennessee playoff chance
42 other games had little impact
Vanderbilt at South Carolina · SEC Network
NC State at Wake Forest · ESPN
Colorado at Houston · ESPN
Kansas State at Arizona · FOX
New Mexico at UCLA · BTN
Wisconsin at Alabama · ABC
Oklahoma at Temple · ESPN2
Oregon at Northwestern · FOX
Central Michigan at Michigan · BTN
Clemson at Georgia Tech · ESPN
Memphis at Troy · ESPNU
Buffalo at Kent State · CBSSN
South Alabama at Auburn · SEC Network
Louisiana at Missouri · ESPN+
UConn at Delaware · ESPN+
Oregon State at Texas Tech · FOX
Washington State at North Texas · ESPNU
SMU at Missouri State · CBSSN
Pittsburgh at West Virginia · ESPN
Iowa State at Arkansas State · ESPN2
UTEP at Texas · SEC Network
South Florida at Miami · The CW Network
Liberty at Bowling Green · ESPN+
Middle Tennessee at Nevada
Florida Atlantic at Florida International · ESPN+
Ohio at Ohio State · Peacock
Western Michigan at Illinois · FS1
Old Dominion at Virginia Tech · ACC Network
Jacksonville State at Georgia Southern · ESPN+
App State at Southern Miss · ESPN+
Florida at LSU · ABC
Texas A&M at Notre Dame · NBC
Massachusetts at Iowa · BTN
New Mexico State at Louisiana Tech · ESPN+
East Carolina at Coastal Carolina · ESPN+
Duke at Tulane · ESPN2
Utah at Wyoming · CBSSN
Akron at UAB · ESPN+
Air Force at Utah State · FS1
Minnesota at California · ESPN
Boston College at Stanford · ACC Network
Texas State at Arizona State · TNT
The rooting list was:Tennessee, then Purdue, Arkansas, Navy, Kentucky.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 3, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 3). How the model works.