๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

#11Tennessee Volunteers

5โ€“1 ยท 2โ€“1 SEC
In the books
WEEK 8 ยท 2025
The Week 8 recap

Tennessee lost to Alabama. Playoff odds moved from 28% to 16%.

Your game

Tennessee at Alabama
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playoff chanceEntering28%Win48%Loss22%
Tennessee
Tennessee 23%Alabama 77%
Alabama
Final ยท Tennessee 20โ€“37 AlabamaWent the other way โœ—

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Tennessee wanted
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Impact 1
Rooted for
USC
at
Notre Dame
Final ยท USC 24โ€“34 Notre DameWent the other way โœ—
Projected 3.1-point playoff boost

Notre Dame won instead, so Tennessee did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection31% if USC won28% with the other result3.1-point differenceTennessee playoff chance
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Impact 2
Texas
at
Rooted for
Kentucky
Final ยท Texas 16โ€“13 KentuckyWent the other way โœ—
Projected 3.0-point playoff boost

Texas won instead, so Tennessee did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection31% if Kentucky won28% with the other result3-point differenceTennessee playoff chance
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Impact 3
Mississippi State
at
Rooted for
Florida
Final ยท Mississippi State 21โ€“23 FloridaWish granted โœ“
Projected 2.6-point playoff boost

Mississippi State lost again, helping keep them behind Tennessee.

Entering-week projection29% if Florida won26% with the other result2.6-point differenceTennessee playoff chance
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Impact 4
LSU
at
Rooted for
Vanderbilt
Final ยท LSU 24โ€“31 VanderbiltWish granted โœ“
Projected 2.4-point playoff boost

Vanderbilt won and stayed ranked ahead of its Week 14 game against Tennessee.

Entering-week projection29% if Vanderbilt won27% with the other result2.4-point differenceTennessee playoff chance
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Impact 5
Texas A&M
at
Rooted for
Arkansas
Final ยท Texas A&M 45โ€“42 ArkansasWent the other way โœ—
Projected 1.8-point playoff boost

Texas A&M won instead, so Tennessee did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection29% if Arkansas won28% with the other result1.8-point differenceTennessee playoff chance
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Impact 6
Rooted for
Oklahoma
at
South Carolina
Final ยท Oklahoma 26โ€“7 South CarolinaWish granted โœ“
Projected 1.6-point playoff boost

Oklahoma won and stayed ranked ahead of its Week 10 game against Tennessee.

Entering-week projection29% if Oklahoma won27% with the other result1.6-point differenceTennessee playoff chance
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Impact 7
Louisville
at
Rooted for
Miami
Final ยท Louisville 24โ€“21 MiamiWent the other way โœ—
Projected 1.4-point playoff boost

Louisville won instead, so Tennessee did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection29% if Miami won27% with the other result1.4-point differenceTennessee playoff chance
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Impact 8
Missouri
at
Rooted for
Auburn
Final ยท Missouri 23โ€“17 AuburnWent the other way โœ—
Projected 1.3-point playoff boost

Missouri won instead, so Tennessee did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection29% if Auburn won28% with the other result1.3-point differenceTennessee playoff chance
50 other games had little impact
New Mexico State at Liberty ยท CBSSN
Arkansas State at South Alabama ยท ESPN2
Florida International at Western Kentucky ยท ESPNU
Delaware at Jacksonville State ยท ESPN2
UTEP at Sam Houston ยท CBSSN
Tulsa at East Carolina ยท ESPN
Nebraska at Minnesota ยท FOX
San Josรฉ State at Utah State ยท CBSSN
North Carolina at California ยท ESPN
Washington at Michigan ยท FOX
Georgia Tech at Duke ยท ESPN
UConn at Boston College ยท ACC Network
Arizona at Houston ยท FS1
Baylor at TCU ยท ESPN2
Army at Tulane ยท ESPNU
Central Michigan at Bowling Green ยท CBSSN
Eastern Michigan at Miami (OH) ยท ESPN+
West Virginia at UCF ยท TNT
Kent State at Toledo ยท ESPN+
Buffalo at Massachusetts ยท ESPN+
Purdue at Northwestern ยท BTN
Troy at UL Monroe ยท ESPN+
Ole Miss at Georgia ยท ABC
Ohio State at Wisconsin ยท CBS
Michigan State at Indiana ยท Peacock
SMU at Clemson ยท ACC Network
Wyoming at Air Force ยท CBSSN
UNLV at Boise State ยท FS1
Coastal Carolina at App State ยท ESPN+
Old Dominion at James Madison ยท ESPNU
Texas State at Marshall ยท ESPN+
Temple at Charlotte ยท ESPN+
UTSA at North Texas ยท ESPN+
Akron at Ball State ยท ESPN+
Northern Illinois at Ohio ยท ESPN+
Texas Tech at Arizona State ยท FOX
Memphis at UAB ยท ESPN2
Southern Miss at Louisiana ยท ESPN+
Oregon at Rutgers ยท BTN
Washington State at Virginia ยท The CW Network
Penn State at Iowa ยท Peacock
Maryland at UCLA ยท FS1
Hawai'i at Colorado State
Georgia State at Georgia Southern ยท ESPN+
Pittsburgh at Syracuse ยท ACC Network
Florida Atlantic at South Florida ยท ESPNU
Utah at BYU ยท FOX
Cincinnati at Oklahoma State ยท ESPN2
Nevada at New Mexico ยท FS1
Florida State at Stanford ยท ESPN
The rooting list was:Tennessee, then USC, Kentucky, Florida, Vanderbilt, Arkansas, Oklahoma, Miami, Auburn.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 8, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 8). How the model works.