#2Indiana Hoosiers

7–0 · 4–0 BIG TEN

In the books

WEEK 9 · 2025

The Week 9 recap

Indiana beat UCLA. Playoff odds moved from 96% to 97%.

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FOX

Big Ten title-game chanceEntering77%Win79%Loss28%

UCLA

UCLA 3%Indiana 97%

Indiana

Final · UCLA 6–56 IndianaWish granted ✓

By impactBy kickoff

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FS1

Impact 1

Rooted for

Wisconsin

at

Oregon

Final · Wisconsin 7–21 OregonWent the other way ✗

Projected 9.3-point title-game boost

Oregon won instead, so Indiana did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection86% if Wisconsin won77% with the other result9.3-point differenceIndiana Big Ten title-game chance

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NBC

Impact 2

Michigan

at

Rooted for

Michigan State

Final · Michigan 31–20 Michigan StateWent the other way ✗

Projected 5.3-point title-game boost

Michigan won instead, so Indiana did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection82% if Michigan State won77% with the other result5.3-point differenceIndiana Big Ten title-game chance

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ABC

Impact 3

Texas A&M

at

Rooted for

LSU

Final · Texas A&M 49–25 LSUWent the other way ✗

Projected 3.6-point first-round-bye boost

Texas A&M won instead, so Indiana did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection65% if LSU won62% with the other result3.6-point differenceIndiana first-round bye chance

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ABC

Impact 4

Ole Miss

at

Rooted for

Oklahoma

Final · Ole Miss 34–26 OklahomaWent the other way ✗

Projected 2.9-point first-round-bye boost

Ole Miss won instead, so Indiana did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection65% if Oklahoma won63% with the other result2.9-point differenceIndiana first-round bye chance

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ABC

Impact 5

Alabama

at

Rooted for

South Carolina

Final · Alabama 29–22 South CarolinaWent the other way ✗

Projected 2.6-point first-round-bye boost

Alabama won instead, so Indiana did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection66% if South Carolina won63% with the other result2.6-point differenceIndiana first-round bye chance

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ESPN

Impact 6

Rooted for

Stanford

at

Miami

Final · Stanford 7–42 MiamiWent the other way ✗

Projected 1.3-point playoff boost

Miami won instead, so Indiana did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection97% if Stanford won96% with the other result1.3-point differenceIndiana playoff chance

46 other games had little impact

Illinois at Washington · BTN

Bowling Green at Kent State · ESPN+

NC State at Pittsburgh · ACC Network

Utah State at New Mexico

Kennesaw State at Florida International · ESPNU

Western Kentucky at Louisiana Tech · CBSSN

Middle Tennessee at Delaware · ESPN2

Missouri State at New Mexico State · CBSSN

South Alabama at Georgia State · ESPN2

North Texas at Charlotte · ESPN2

California at Virginia Tech · ESPN

Boise State at Nevada · CBSSN

Northwestern at Nebraska · FS1

Rutgers at Purdue · BTN

SMU at Wake Forest · The CW Network

Syracuse at Georgia Tech · ESPN

Virginia at North Carolina · ACC Network

Kansas State at Kansas · TNT

App State at Old Dominion · ESPNU

South Florida at Memphis · ESPN2

Ohio at Eastern Michigan · CBSSN

Auburn at Arkansas · SEC Network

Akron at Buffalo · ESPN+

UConn at Rice · ESPN+

Missouri at Vanderbilt · ESPN

Minnesota at Iowa · CBS

Toledo at Washington State · The CW Network

BYU at Iowa State · FOX

San Diego State at Fresno State · FS1

UL Monroe at Southern Miss · ESPN+

Florida Atlantic at Navy · CBSSN

Temple at Tulsa · ESPN+

Ball State at Northern Illinois · ESPN+

Massachusetts at Central Michigan · ESPN+

Western Michigan at Miami (OH) · ESPN+

Baylor at Cincinnati · ESPN2

Oklahoma State at Texas Tech · ESPNU

Texas at Mississippi State · SEC Network

TCU at West Virginia · ESPN+

Georgia Southern at Arkansas State · ESPN+

Louisiana at Troy · ESPN+

Boston College at Louisville · ACC Network

Colorado State at Wyoming · CBSSN

Tennessee at Kentucky · SEC Network

Houston at Arizona State · ESPN2

Colorado at Utah · ESPN

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 9, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 9). How the model works.