#3Indiana Hoosiers

6–0 · 3–0 BIG TEN

In the books

WEEK 8 · 2025

The Week 8 recap

Indiana beat Michigan State. Playoff odds moved from 88% to 96%.

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Peacock

Big Ten title-game chanceEntering80%Win80%Loss33%

Michigan State

Michigan State 1%Indiana 99%

Indiana

Final · Michigan State 13–38 IndianaWish granted ✓

By impactBy kickoff

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BTN

Impact 1

Oregon

at

Rooted for

Rutgers

Final · Oregon 56–10 RutgersWent the other way ✗

Projected 6.3-point title-game boost

Oregon won instead, so Indiana did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection85% if Rutgers won79% with the other result6.3-point differenceIndiana Big Ten title-game chance

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NBC

Impact 2

Rooted for

USC

at

Notre Dame

Final · USC 24–34 Notre DameWent the other way ✗

Projected 2.4-point playoff boost

Notre Dame won instead, so Indiana did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection90% if USC won88% with the other result2.4-point differenceIndiana playoff chance

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ESPN

Impact 3

Rooted for

Louisville

at

Miami

Final · Louisville 24–21 MiamiWish granted ✓

Projected 3.5-point first-round-bye boost

Louisville won, helping protect Indiana's path to a top-four seed and first-round bye.

Entering-week projection49% if Louisville won45% with the other result3.5-point differenceIndiana first-round bye chance

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CBS

Impact 4

Ohio State

at

Rooted for

Wisconsin

Final · Ohio State 34–0 WisconsinWent the other way ✗

Projected 2.9-point title-game boost

Ohio State won instead, so Indiana did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection82% if Wisconsin won79% with the other result2.9-point differenceIndiana Big Ten title-game chance

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FOX

Impact 5

Texas Tech

at

Rooted for

Arizona State

Final · Texas Tech 22–26 Arizona StateWish granted ✓

Projected 3.3-point first-round-bye boost

Arizona State won, helping protect Indiana's path to a top-four seed and first-round bye.

Entering-week projection48% if Arizona State won45% with the other result3.3-point differenceIndiana first-round bye chance

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Peacock

Impact 6

Rooted for

Penn State

at

Iowa

Final · Penn State 24–25 IowaWent the other way ✗

Projected 2.4-point first-round-bye boost

Iowa won instead, so Indiana did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection47% if Penn State won45% with the other result2.4-point differenceIndiana first-round bye chance

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ESPN

Impact 7

Texas

at

Rooted for

Kentucky

Final · Texas 16–13 KentuckyWent the other way ✗

Projected 1.3-point playoff boost

Texas won instead, so Indiana did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection89% if Kentucky won88% with the other result1.3-point differenceIndiana playoff chance

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ESPN

Impact 8

Texas A&M

at

Rooted for

Arkansas

Final · Texas A&M 45–42 ArkansasWent the other way ✗

Projected 1.2-point playoff boost

Texas A&M won instead, so Indiana did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection89% if Arkansas won88% with the other result1.2-point differenceIndiana playoff chance

50 other games had little impact

Arkansas State at South Alabama · ESPN2

Purdue at Northwestern · BTN

LSU at Vanderbilt · ABC

New Mexico State at Liberty · CBSSN

Florida International at Western Kentucky · ESPNU

Delaware at Jacksonville State · ESPN2

UTEP at Sam Houston · CBSSN

Tulsa at East Carolina · ESPN

Nebraska at Minnesota · FOX

San José State at Utah State · CBSSN

North Carolina at California · ESPN

Washington at Michigan · FOX

Georgia Tech at Duke · ESPN

UConn at Boston College · ACC Network

Arizona at Houston · FS1

Baylor at TCU · ESPN2

Army at Tulane · ESPNU

Central Michigan at Bowling Green · CBSSN

Eastern Michigan at Miami (OH) · ESPN+

Oklahoma at South Carolina · SEC Network

West Virginia at UCF · TNT

Kent State at Toledo · ESPN+

Buffalo at Massachusetts · ESPN+

Troy at UL Monroe · ESPN+

Ole Miss at Georgia · ABC

SMU at Clemson · ACC Network

Wyoming at Air Force · CBSSN

UNLV at Boise State · FS1

Coastal Carolina at App State · ESPN+

Old Dominion at James Madison · ESPNU

Texas State at Marshall · ESPN+

Temple at Charlotte · ESPN+

UTSA at North Texas · ESPN+

Akron at Ball State · ESPN+

Northern Illinois at Ohio · ESPN+

Memphis at UAB · ESPN2

Mississippi State at Florida · SEC Network

Southern Miss at Louisiana · ESPN+

Washington State at Virginia · The CW Network

Maryland at UCLA · FS1

Hawai'i at Colorado State

Georgia State at Georgia Southern · ESPN+

Tennessee at Alabama · ABC

Pittsburgh at Syracuse · ACC Network

Florida Atlantic at South Florida · ESPNU

Missouri at Auburn · SEC Network

Utah at BYU · FOX

Cincinnati at Oklahoma State · ESPN2

Nevada at New Mexico · FS1

Florida State at Stanford · ESPN

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 8, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 8). How the model works.