๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

#2Indiana Hoosiers

10โ€“0 ยท 7โ€“0 BIG TEN
In the books
WEEK 12 ยท 2025
The Week 12 recap

Indiana beat Wisconsin. Playoff odds moved from >99% to >99%.

Your game

Wisconsin at Indiana
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first-round bye chanceEntering85%Win85%Loss50%
Wisconsin
Wisconsin 1%Indiana 99%
Indiana
Final ยท Wisconsin 7โ€“31 IndianaWish granted โœ“

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Indiana wanted
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Impact 1
Rooted for
South Carolina
at
Texas A&M
Final ยท South Carolina 30โ€“31 Texas A&MWent the other way โœ—
Projected 3.6-point first-round-bye boost

Texas A&M won instead, so Indiana did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection88% if South Carolina won84% with the other result3.6-point differenceIndiana first-round bye chance
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Impact 2
Rooted for
UCF
at
Texas Tech
Final ยท UCF 9โ€“48 Texas TechWent the other way โœ—
Projected 3.5-point first-round-bye boost

Texas Tech won instead, so Indiana did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection88% if UCF won85% with the other result3.5-point differenceIndiana first-round bye chance
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Impact 3
Rooted for
UCLA
at
Ohio State
Final ยท UCLA 10โ€“48 Ohio StateWent the other way โœ—
Projected โ‰ˆ0.3 seed lines

Ohio State won instead, so Indiana did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection97% if UCLA won>99% with the other result1.9-point differenceIndiana Big Ten title-game chance
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Impact 4
Rooted for
Minnesota
at
Oregon
Final ยท Minnesota 13โ€“42 OregonWent the other way โœ—
Projected 2.4-point first-round-bye boost

Oregon won instead, so Indiana did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection87% if Minnesota won85% with the other result2.4-point differenceIndiana first-round bye chance
53 other games had little impact
Florida at Ole Miss ยท ESPN
Texas at Georgia ยท ABC
Utah at Baylor ยท ESPN2
Kent State at Akron ยท ESPNU
Ohio at Western Michigan ยท ESPN2
Buffalo at Central Michigan ยท CBSSN
Northern Illinois at Massachusetts ยท ESPNU
Toledo at Miami (OH) ยท ESPN2
Troy at Old Dominion ยท ESPN
Clemson at Louisville ยท ESPN
Michigan at Northwestern ยท FOX
Notre Dame at Pittsburgh ยท ABC
Arizona at Cincinnati ยท FS1
Kansas State at Oklahoma State ยท ESPNU
Air Force at UConn ยท CBSSN
UTSA at Charlotte ยท ESPN+
South Florida at Navy ยท ESPN2
Eastern Michigan at Ball State ยท ESPN+
Arkansas at LSU ยท SEC Network
Oregon State at Tulsa ยท The CW Network
West Virginia at Arizona State ยท truTV
Marshall at Georgia State ยท ESPN+
North Texas at UAB ยท ESPN+
UTEP at Missouri State ยท ESPN+
Colorado State at New Mexico
Oklahoma at Alabama ยท ABC
Penn State at Michigan State ยท CBS
Maryland at Illinois ยท FS1
Iowa at USC ยท BTN
Georgia Tech at Boston College ยท ACC Network
Virginia at Duke ยท ESPN2
NC State at Miami ยท ESPN
Middle Tennessee at Western Kentucky ยท ESPN+
San Josรฉ State at Nevada ยท CBSSN
App State at James Madison ยท ESPN+
South Alabama at UL Monroe ยท ESPN+
Texas State at Southern Miss ยท ESPN+
Memphis at East Carolina ยท ESPNU
Florida Atlantic at Tulane ยท ESPN+
New Mexico State at Tennessee ยท SEC Network
North Carolina at Wake Forest ยท The CW Network
Liberty at Florida International ยท ESPN+
Coastal Carolina at Georgia Southern ยท ESPN+
Purdue at Washington ยท FS1
Delaware at Sam Houston ยท ESPN+
Utah State at UNLV ยท CBSSN
Virginia Tech at Florida State ยท ACC Network
Mississippi State at Missouri ยท SEC Network
Kennesaw State at Jacksonville State ยท ESPNU
Louisiana Tech at Washington State ยท The CW Network
TCU at BYU ยท ESPN
Boise State at San Diego State ยท CBSSN
Wyoming at Fresno State ยท FS1
The rooting list was:Indiana, then South Carolina, UCF, UCLA, Minnesota.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 12, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 12). How the model works.