๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

#2Indiana Hoosiers

9โ€“0 ยท 6โ€“0 BIG TEN
In the books
WEEK 11 ยท 2025
The Week 11 recap

Indiana beat Penn State. Playoff odds moved from >99% to >99%.

Your game

Indiana at Penn State
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first-round bye chanceEntering84%Win92%Loss66%
Indiana
Indiana 68%Penn State 32%
Penn State
Final ยท Indiana 27โ€“24 Penn StateWish granted โœ“

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Indiana wanted
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Impact 1
Rooted for
Ohio State
at
Purdue
Final ยท Ohio State 34โ€“10 PurdueWish granted โœ“
Projected 9.0-point title-game boost

Purdue lost, improving Indiana's place in the Big Ten standings.

Entering-week projection94% if Ohio State won85% with the other result9-point differenceIndiana Big Ten title-game chance
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Impact 2
Rooted for
LSU
at
Alabama
Final ยท LSU 9โ€“20 AlabamaWent the other way โœ—
Projected 3.0-point first-round-bye boost

Alabama won instead, so Indiana did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection86% if LSU won83% with the other result3-point differenceIndiana first-round bye chance
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Impact 3
Texas A&M
at
Rooted for
Missouri
Final ยท Texas A&M 38โ€“17 MissouriWent the other way โœ—
Projected 2.9-point first-round-bye boost

Texas A&M won instead, so Indiana did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection85% if Missouri won82% with the other result2.9-point differenceIndiana first-round bye chance
47 other games had little impact
Oregon at Iowa ยท CBS
Massachusetts at Akron ยท CBSSN
Miami (OH) at Ohio ยท ESPN2
Kent State at Ball State ยท ESPNU
Northern Illinois at Toledo ยท ESPN2
Georgia Southern at App State ยท ESPN2
UTSA at South Florida ยท ESPN
Houston at UCF ยท FS1
Northwestern at USC ยท FOX
Tulane at Memphis ยท ESPN
Georgia at Mississippi State ยท ESPN
SMU at Boston College ยท ACC Network
BYU at Texas Tech ยท ABC
Colorado at West Virginia ยท TNT
James Madison at Marshall ยท ESPN2
Southern Miss at Arkansas State ยท ESPNU
Temple at Army ยท CBSSN
Missouri State at Liberty ยท ESPN+
Bowling Green at Eastern Michigan ยท ESPN+
UAB at Rice ยท ESPN+
Maryland at Rutgers ยท FS1
Louisiana Tech at Delaware ยท ESPN+
Florida International at Middle Tennessee ยท ESPN+
Jacksonville State at UTEP ยท ESPN+
Charlotte at East Carolina ยท ESPN+
Tulsa at Florida Atlantic ยท ESPN+
Syracuse at Miami ยท ESPN
Duke at UConn ยท CBSSN
Kansas at Arizona ยท ESPN2
Iowa State at TCU ยท FOX
Auburn at Vanderbilt ยท SEC Network
Kennesaw State at New Mexico State ยท ESPN+
Georgia State at Coastal Carolina ยท ESPN+
Washington at Wisconsin ยท BTN
Stanford at North Carolina ยท The CW Network
Texas State at Louisiana ยท ESPN+
Air Force at San Josรฉ State ยท FS1
California at Louisville ยท ESPN2
Florida State at Clemson ยท ACC Network
Wake Forest at Virginia ยท ESPN
Florida at Kentucky ยท SEC Network
Navy at Notre Dame ยท NBC
Nevada at Utah State ยท CBSSN
Nebraska at UCLA ยท FOX
UNLV at Colorado State ยท FS1
Sam Houston at Oregon State ยท The CW Network
San Diego State at Hawai'i
The rooting list was:Indiana, then Ohio State, LSU, Missouri.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 11, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 11). How the model works.