🏈 Fan Watch

#2Indiana Hoosiers

8–0 · 5–0 BIG TEN
In the books
WEEK 10 · 2025
The Week 10 recap

Indiana beat Maryland. Playoff odds moved from 97% to >99%.

Your game

Indiana at Maryland
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CBS
Big Ten title-game chanceEntering84%Win88%Loss44%
Indiana
Indiana 92%Maryland 8%
Maryland
Final · Indiana 55–10 MarylandWish granted ✓

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Indiana wanted
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FOX
Impact 1
Penn State
at
Rooted for
Ohio State
Final · Penn State 14–38 Ohio StateWish granted ✓
Projected 4.5-point title-game boost

Penn State lost, improving Indiana's place in the Big Ten standings.

Entering-week projection85% if Ohio State won81% with the other result4.5-point differenceIndiana Big Ten title-game chance
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BTN
Impact 2
Rooted for
Purdue
at
Michigan
Final · Purdue 16–21 MichiganWent the other way ✗
Projected 4.3-point title-game boost

Michigan won instead, so Indiana did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection88% if Purdue won84% with the other result4.3-point differenceIndiana Big Ten title-game chance
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ABC
Impact 3
Georgia
at
Rooted for
Florida
Final · Georgia 24–20 FloridaWent the other way ✗
Projected 3.5-point first-round-bye boost

Georgia won instead, so Indiana did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection72% if Florida won69% with the other result3.5-point differenceIndiana first-round bye chance
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ESPN
Impact 4
Rooted for
South Carolina
at
Ole Miss
Final · South Carolina 14–30 Ole MissWent the other way ✗
Projected 2.4-point first-round-bye boost

Ole Miss won instead, so Indiana did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection71% if South Carolina won69% with the other result2.4-point differenceIndiana first-round bye chance
47 other games had little impact
Michigan State at Minnesota · BTN
Miami at SMU · ESPN
USC at Nebraska · NBC
Texas Tech at Kansas State · FOX
UTEP at Kennesaw State · ESPNU
James Madison at Texas State · ESPN2
Jacksonville State at Middle Tennessee · ESPN2
Florida International at Missouri State · CBSSN
Marshall at Coastal Carolina · ESPN2
Tulane at UTSA · ESPN
Memphis at Rice · ESPN2
North Carolina at Syracuse · ESPN
Sam Houston at Louisiana Tech · CBSSN
Vanderbilt at Texas · ABC
Rutgers at Illinois · NBC
Duke at Clemson · ACC Network
UCF at Baylor · ESPNU
West Virginia at Houston · FS1
UAB at UConn · CBSSN
Army at Air Force · CBS
Navy at North Texas · ESPN2
Buffalo at Bowling Green · ESPN+
Arizona State at Iowa State · TNT
East Carolina at Temple · ESPN+
Louisville at Virginia Tech · The CW Network
New Mexico at UNLV
Pittsburgh at Stanford · ACC Network
Notre Dame at Boston College · ESPN
Delaware at Liberty · CBSSN
New Mexico State at Western Kentucky · ESPN+
Fresno State at Boise State · FS1
Old Dominion at UL Monroe · ESPN+
Louisiana at South Alabama · ESPN+
Virginia at California · ESPN2
Mississippi State at Arkansas · SEC Network
Oklahoma State at Kansas · ESPN+
Central Michigan at Western Michigan · ESPNU
Arizona at Colorado · FS1
Wyoming at San Diego State · CBSSN
Kentucky at Auburn · SEC Network
Oklahoma at Tennessee · ABC
Washington State at Oregon State · CBS
Wake Forest at Florida State · ACC Network
Georgia Tech at NC State · ESPN2
Arkansas State at Troy · ESPNU
Cincinnati at Utah · ESPN
Hawai'i at San José State · CBSSN
The rooting list was:Indiana, then Ohio State, Purdue, Florida, South Carolina.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 10, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 10). How the model works.