๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

#23Indiana Hoosiers

1โ€“0 ยท 0โ€“0 BIG TEN
In the books
WEEK 2 ยท 2025
The Week 2 recap

Indiana beat Kennesaw State. Playoff odds moved from 19% to 21%.

Your game

Kennesaw State at Indiana
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playoff chanceEntering19%Win19%Loss9%
Kennesaw State
Kennesaw State 3%Indiana 97%
Indiana
Final ยท Kennesaw State 9โ€“56 IndianaWish granted โœ“

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Indiana wanted
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Impact 1
Rooted for
Louisiana Tech
at
LSU
Final ยท Louisiana Tech 7โ€“23 LSUWent the other way โœ—
Projected 1.8-point playoff boost

LSU won instead, so Indiana did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection21% if Louisiana Tech won19% with the other result1.8-point differenceIndiana playoff chance
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Impact 2
Ole Miss
at
Rooted for
Kentucky
Final ยท Ole Miss 30โ€“23 KentuckyWent the other way โœ—
Projected 1.7-point playoff boost

Ole Miss won instead, so Indiana did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection20% if Kentucky won19% with the other result1.7-point differenceIndiana playoff chance
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Impact 3
Rooted for
Iowa
at
Iowa State
Final ยท Iowa 13โ€“16 Iowa StateWent the other way โœ—
Projected 1.4-point playoff boost

Iowa State won instead, so Indiana did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection20% if Iowa won18% with the other result1.4-point differenceIndiana playoff chance
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Impact 4
Rooted for
Illinois
at
Duke
Final ยท Illinois 45โ€“19 DukeWish granted โœ“
Projected 1.3-point playoff boost

Illinois won and stayed ranked ahead of its Week 4 game against Indiana.

Entering-week projection20% if Illinois won18% with the other result1.3-point differenceIndiana playoff chance
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Impact 5
Western Kentucky
at
Rooted for
Toledo
Final ยท Western Kentucky 21โ€“45 ToledoWish granted โœ“
Projected 1.3-point playoff boost

Toledo won, thinning out the at-large competition for Indiana's playoff spot.

Entering-week projection19% if Toledo won18% with the other result1.3-point differenceIndiana playoff chance
44 other games had little impact
Northern Illinois at Maryland ยท BTN
James Madison at Louisville ยท ESPN2
San Josรฉ State at Texas ยท ABC
Florida International at Penn State ยท BTN
Virginia at NC State ยท ESPN2
Baylor at SMU ยท The CW Network
Central Michigan at Pittsburgh ยท ESPNU
UConn at Syracuse ยท ESPN+
Kent State at Texas Tech ยท TNT
Liberty at Jacksonville State ยท CBSSN
Utah State at Texas A&M ยท SEC Network
Kansas at Missouri ยท ESPN2
Miami (OH) at Rutgers ยท Peacock
Oklahoma State at Oregon ยท CBS
Fresno State at Oregon State ยท The CW Network
Troy at Clemson ยท ACC Network
Bowling Green at Cincinnati ยท ESPN+
Delaware at Colorado ยท FOX
Texas State at UTSA ยท ESPN+
UAB at Navy ยท CBSSN
North Texas at Western Michigan ยท ESPN+
Middle Tennessee at Wisconsin ยท FS1
West Virginia at Ohio ยท ESPNU
South Florida at Florida ยท SEC Network
Arkansas State at Arkansas ยท ESPN+
Missouri State at Marshall ยท ESPN+
North Carolina at Charlotte ยท ESPN+
Army at Kansas State ยท ESPN
Houston at Rice ยท ESPN+
Memphis at Georgia State ยท ESPN+
Tulane at South Alabama ยท ESPN+
Ball State at Auburn ยท ESPNU
Arizona State at Mississippi State ยท ESPN2
Michigan at Oklahoma ยท ABC
Vanderbilt at Virginia Tech ยท ACC Network
Akron at Nebraska ยท BTN
Georgia Southern at USC ยท FS1
Boston College at Michigan State ยท NBC
UL Monroe at Alabama ยท SEC Network
UCLA at UNLV ยท CBSSN
Tulsa at New Mexico State ยท ESPN+
San Diego State at Washington State ยท The CW Network
Stanford at BYU ยท ESPN
Sam Houston at Hawai'i
The rooting list was:Indiana, then Louisiana Tech, Kentucky, Iowa, Illinois, Toledo.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 2, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 2). How the model works.