🏈 Fan Watch

#11Indiana Hoosiers

4–0 · 1–0 BIG TEN
In the books
WEEK 5 · 2025
The Week 5 recap

Indiana beat Iowa. Playoff odds moved from 55% to 75%.

Your game

Indiana at Iowa
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Peacock
playoff chanceEntering55%Win63%Loss33%
Indiana
Indiana 74%Iowa 26%
Iowa
Final · Indiana 20–15 IowaWish granted ✓

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Indiana wanted
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ABC
Impact 1
Notre Dame
at
Rooted for
Arkansas
Final · Notre Dame 56–13 ArkansasWent the other way ✗
Projected 3.3-point playoff boost

Notre Dame won instead, so Indiana did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection58% if Arkansas won55% with the other result3.3-point differenceIndiana playoff chance
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CBS
Impact 2
Ohio State
at
Rooted for
Washington
Final · Ohio State 24–6 WashingtonWent the other way ✗
Projected 4.6-point title-game boost

Ohio State won instead, so Indiana did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection25% if Washington won21% with the other result4.6-point differenceIndiana Big Ten title-game chance
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FOX
Impact 3
USC
at
Rooted for
Illinois
Final · USC 32–34 IllinoisWish granted ✓
Projected 3.8-point title-game boost

USC lost, improving Indiana's place in the Big Ten standings.

Entering-week projection25% if Illinois won21% with the other result3.8-point differenceIndiana Big Ten title-game chance
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SEC Network
Impact 4
Rooted for
Utah State
at
Vanderbilt
Final · Utah State 35–55 VanderbiltWent the other way ✗
Projected 2.0-point playoff boost

Vanderbilt won instead, so Indiana did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection57% if Utah State won55% with the other result2-point differenceIndiana playoff chance
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NBC
Impact 5
Rooted for
Oregon
at
Penn State
Final · Oregon 30–24 Penn StateWish granted ✓
Projected 2.2-point title-game boost

Penn State lost, improving Indiana's place in the Big Ten standings.

Entering-week projection24% if Oregon won21% with the other result2.2-point differenceIndiana Big Ten title-game chance
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BTN
Impact 6
Rooted for
UCLA
at
Northwestern
Final · UCLA 14–17 NorthwesternWent the other way ✗
Projected 1.4-point playoff boost

Northwestern won instead, so Indiana did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection56% if UCLA won55% with the other result1.4-point differenceIndiana playoff chance
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ESPN
Impact 7
Rooted for
Auburn
at
Texas A&M
Final · Auburn 10–16 Texas A&MWent the other way ✗
Projected 1.4-point playoff boost

Texas A&M won instead, so Indiana did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection56% if Auburn won55% with the other result1.4-point differenceIndiana playoff chance
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ABC
Impact 8
Alabama
at
Rooted for
Georgia
Final · Alabama 24–21 GeorgiaWent the other way ✗
Projected 1.3-point playoff boost

Alabama won instead, so Indiana did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection56% if Georgia won54% with the other result1.3-point differenceIndiana playoff chance
42 other games had little impact
Army at East Carolina · ESPN
Florida State at Virginia · ESPN
TCU at Arizona State · FOX
Houston at Oregon State · ESPN
Rutgers at Minnesota · BTN
Duke at Syracuse · ACC Network
Georgia Tech at Wake Forest · ESPN
Louisville at Pittsburgh · ESPN2
Cincinnati at Kansas · TNT
UCF at Kansas State · FS1
South Alabama at North Texas · ESPNU
Bowling Green at Ohio · CBSSN
Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan · ESPN+
Georgia Southern at James Madison · ESPN+
Arkansas State at UL Monroe · ESPN+
LSU at Ole Miss · ABC
California at Boston College · ACC Network
Baylor at Oklahoma State · ESPN2
Utah at West Virginia · FOX
UConn at Buffalo · ESPN+
San Diego State at Northern Illinois · ESPN+
Rice at Navy · CBSSN
Akron at Toledo · ESPN+
New Mexico State at New Mexico
Hawai'i at Air Force · FS1
Tulane at Tulsa · ESPNU
Tennessee at Mississippi State · SEC Network
Middle Tennessee at Kennesaw State · ESPN+
Liberty at Old Dominion · ESPN+
Virginia Tech at NC State · The CW Network
Arizona at Iowa State · ESPN
Jacksonville State at Southern Miss · ESPN+
Western Kentucky at Missouri State · ESPN+
Memphis at Florida Atlantic · ESPN2
Massachusetts at Missouri · ESPNU
Washington State at Colorado State · CBSSN
San José State at Stanford · ACC Network
App State at Boise State · FS1
Kentucky at South Carolina · SEC Network
Marshall at Louisiana · ESPN+
Louisiana Tech at UTEP · ESPN+
BYU at Colorado · ESPN
The rooting list was:Indiana, then Arkansas, Washington, Illinois, Utah State, Oregon, UCLA, Auburn, Georgia.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 5, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 5). How the model works.