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#11Indiana Hoosiers

4–0 · 1–0 BIG TEN
In the books
WEEK 5 · 2025
22%
Big Ten title game
10%
Win the Big Ten
82%
Make the playoff
4%
First-round bye
avg seed 7.3
How the week went: playoff odds 82% → 99% · title-game odds 22% → 33%.
Playoff odds by week
12345

If Indiana wins out: 54% to win the Big Ten, >99% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Indiana's path
Your game
…
… · Peacock
#11 Indiana at Iowa

Your game. Beat Iowa and your playoff odds are 88%; lose and they drop to 60%.

Final · Indiana 20–15 IowaWish granted ✓
Just win
Big swingsthese move your odds the most
…
… · ABC
#22 Notre Dame at Arkansas

Arkansas winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · Notre Dame 56–13 ArkansasWent the other way ✗
Root for Arkansas+5.6 pp playoff odds
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · CBS
#1 Ohio State at Washington

Big Ten race: Ohio State losing helps your spot in the standings; you still play Ohio State in week 15.

Final · Ohio State 24–6 WashingtonWent the other way ✗
Root for Washington+5.2 pp title-game odds
…
… · ABC
#17 Alabama at #5 Georgia

Georgia winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · Alabama 24–21 GeorgiaWent the other way ✗
Root for Georgia+3.1 pp playoff odds
…
… · FOX
#21 USC at #23 Illinois

Big Ten race: USC losing helps your spot in the standings; you beat Illinois — their wins make your résumé stronger.

Final · USC 32–34 IllinoisWish granted ✓
Root for Illinois+4.4 pp title-game odds
…
… · ESPN
Auburn at #9 Texas A&M

Auburn winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · Auburn 10–16 Texas A&MWent the other way ✗
Root for Auburn+2.0 pp playoff odds
…
… · BTN
UCLA at Northwestern

Big Ten race: Northwestern losing helps your spot in the standings; UCLA visits your schedule in week 9 — keep them ranked.

Final · UCLA 14–17 NorthwesternWent the other way ✗
Root for UCLA+2.4 pp title-game odds
…
… · ABC
#4 LSU at #13 Ole Miss

Ole Miss winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · LSU 19–24 Ole MissWish granted ✓
Root for Ole Miss+1.5 pp playoff odds
43 more games that don't move your needle
Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan · ESPN+
Army at East Carolina · ESPN
Florida State at Virginia · ESPN
TCU at Arizona State · FOX
Houston at Oregon State · ESPN
Rutgers at Minnesota · BTN
Duke at Syracuse · ACC Network
Georgia Tech at Wake Forest · ESPN
Louisville at Pittsburgh · ESPN2
Cincinnati at Kansas · TNT
UCF at Kansas State · FS1
South Alabama at North Texas · ESPNU
Bowling Green at Ohio · CBSSN
Utah State at Vanderbilt · SEC Network
Georgia Southern at James Madison · ESPN+
Arkansas State at UL Monroe · ESPN+
California at Boston College · ACC Network
Baylor at Oklahoma State · ESPN2
Utah at West Virginia · FOX
UConn at Buffalo · ESPN+
San Diego State at Northern Illinois · ESPN+
Rice at Navy · CBSSN
Akron at Toledo · ESPN+
New Mexico State at New Mexico
Hawai'i at Air Force · FS1
Tulane at Tulsa · ESPNU
Tennessee at Mississippi State · SEC Network
Middle Tennessee at Kennesaw State · ESPN+
Liberty at Old Dominion · ESPN+
Virginia Tech at NC State · The CW Network
Arizona at Iowa State · ESPN
Jacksonville State at Southern Miss · ESPN+
Western Kentucky at Missouri State · ESPN+
Memphis at Florida Atlantic · ESPN2
Massachusetts at Missouri · ESPNU
Oregon at Penn State · NBC
Washington State at Colorado State · CBSSN
San José State at Stanford · ACC Network
App State at Boise State · FS1
Kentucky at South Carolina · SEC Network
Marshall at Louisiana · ESPN+
Louisiana Tech at UTEP · ESPN+
BYU at Colorado · ESPN

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 5, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 5).