Virginia Cavaliers
3–1 · 1–0 ACC
In the books
WEEK 5 · 2025
12%
ACC title game
4%
Win the ACC
2%
Make the playoff
0%
First-round bye
avg seed 11.6
How the week went: playoff odds 2% → 5% · title-game odds 12% → 17%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Virginia's pathYour game
…
… · ESPN
#8 Florida State at Virginia
Your game. Beat Florida State and your playoff odds are 3%; lose and they drop to <1%. A loss ends it.
Final · Florida State 38–46 VirginiaWish granted ✓
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ESPN
#16 Georgia Tech at Wake Forest
ACC race: Georgia Tech losing helps your spot in the standings; Wake Forest visits your schedule in week 11 — keep them ranked.
Final · Georgia Tech 30–29 Wake ForestWent the other way ✗
Root for Wake Forest+2.5 pp title-game odds
…
… · ESPN2
Louisville at Pittsburgh
ACC race: Louisville losing helps your spot in the standings; you still play Louisville in week 6.
Final · Louisville 34–27 PittsburghWent the other way ✗
Root for Pittsburgh+1.9 pp title-game odds
48 more games that don't move your needle
Army at East Carolina · ESPN
TCU at Arizona State · FOX
Houston at Oregon State · ESPN
Notre Dame at Arkansas · ABC
Rutgers at Minnesota · BTN
USC at Illinois · FOX
Duke at Syracuse · ACC Network
Cincinnati at Kansas · TNT
UCF at Kansas State · FS1
South Alabama at North Texas · ESPNU
Bowling Green at Ohio · CBSSN
Utah State at Vanderbilt · SEC Network
Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan · ESPN+
Georgia Southern at James Madison · ESPN+
Arkansas State at UL Monroe · ESPN+
LSU at Ole Miss · ABC
Auburn at Texas A&M · ESPN
UCLA at Northwestern · BTN
Ohio State at Washington · CBS
Indiana at Iowa · Peacock
California at Boston College · ACC Network
Baylor at Oklahoma State · ESPN2
Utah at West Virginia · FOX
UConn at Buffalo · ESPN+
San Diego State at Northern Illinois · ESPN+
Rice at Navy · CBSSN
Akron at Toledo · ESPN+
New Mexico State at New Mexico
Hawai'i at Air Force · FS1
Tulane at Tulsa · ESPNU
Tennessee at Mississippi State · SEC Network
Middle Tennessee at Kennesaw State · ESPN+
Liberty at Old Dominion · ESPN+
Virginia Tech at NC State · The CW Network
Arizona at Iowa State · ESPN
Jacksonville State at Southern Miss · ESPN+
Western Kentucky at Missouri State · ESPN+
Memphis at Florida Atlantic · ESPN2
Alabama at Georgia · ABC
Massachusetts at Missouri · ESPNU
Oregon at Penn State · NBC
Washington State at Colorado State · CBSSN
San José State at Stanford · ACC Network
App State at Boise State · FS1
Kentucky at South Carolina · SEC Network
Marshall at Louisiana · ESPN+
Louisiana Tech at UTEP · ESPN+
BYU at Colorado · ESPN
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 5, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 5).