#1Ohio State Buckeyes

6–0 · 3–0 BIG TEN

In the books

WEEK 8 · 2025

The Week 8 recap

Ohio State beat Wisconsin. Playoff odds moved from >99% to >99%.

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CBS

Big Ten title-game chanceEntering78%Win80%Loss40%

Ohio State

Ohio State 95%Wisconsin 5%

Wisconsin

Final · Ohio State 34–0 WisconsinWish granted ✓

By impactBy kickoff

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BTN

Impact 1

Oregon

at

Rooted for

Rutgers

Final · Oregon 56–10 RutgersWent the other way ✗

Projected 7.5-point title-game boost

Oregon won instead, so Ohio State did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection84% if Rutgers won77% with the other result7.5-point differenceOhio State Big Ten title-game chance

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Peacock

Impact 2

Rooted for

Michigan State

at

Indiana

Final · Michigan State 13–38 IndianaWent the other way ✗

Projected 4.8-point title-game boost

Indiana won instead, so Ohio State did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection82% if Michigan State won78% with the other result4.8-point differenceOhio State Big Ten title-game chance

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FOX

Impact 3

Rooted for

Washington

at

Michigan

Final · Washington 7–24 MichiganWent the other way ✗

Projected 4.6-point title-game boost

Michigan won instead, so Ohio State did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection81% if Washington won77% with the other result4.6-point differenceOhio State Big Ten title-game chance

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Peacock

Impact 4

Rooted for

Penn State

at

Iowa

Final · Penn State 24–25 IowaWent the other way ✗

Projected 1.9-point title-game boost

Iowa won instead, so Ohio State did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection78% if Penn State won77% with the other result1.9-point differenceOhio State Big Ten title-game chance

54 other games had little impact

Nebraska at Minnesota · FOX

Louisville at Miami · ESPN

Texas Tech at Arizona State · FOX

New Mexico State at Liberty · CBSSN

Arkansas State at South Alabama · ESPN2

Florida International at Western Kentucky · ESPNU

Delaware at Jacksonville State · ESPN2

UTEP at Sam Houston · CBSSN

Tulsa at East Carolina · ESPN

San José State at Utah State · CBSSN

North Carolina at California · ESPN

LSU at Vanderbilt · ABC

Georgia Tech at Duke · ESPN

UConn at Boston College · ACC Network

Arizona at Houston · FS1

Baylor at TCU · ESPN2

Army at Tulane · ESPNU

Central Michigan at Bowling Green · CBSSN

Eastern Michigan at Miami (OH) · ESPN+

Oklahoma at South Carolina · SEC Network

West Virginia at UCF · TNT

Kent State at Toledo · ESPN+

Buffalo at Massachusetts · ESPN+

Purdue at Northwestern · BTN

Troy at UL Monroe · ESPN+

Texas A&M at Arkansas · ESPN

Ole Miss at Georgia · ABC

SMU at Clemson · ACC Network

Wyoming at Air Force · CBSSN

UNLV at Boise State · FS1

Coastal Carolina at App State · ESPN+

Old Dominion at James Madison · ESPNU

Texas State at Marshall · ESPN+

Temple at Charlotte · ESPN+

UTSA at North Texas · ESPN+

Akron at Ball State · ESPN+

Northern Illinois at Ohio · ESPN+

Memphis at UAB · ESPN2

Mississippi State at Florida · SEC Network

Southern Miss at Louisiana · ESPN+

Washington State at Virginia · The CW Network

Texas at Kentucky · ESPN

Maryland at UCLA · FS1

Hawai'i at Colorado State

Georgia State at Georgia Southern · ESPN+

Tennessee at Alabama · ABC

USC at Notre Dame · NBC

Pittsburgh at Syracuse · ACC Network

Florida Atlantic at South Florida · ESPNU

Missouri at Auburn · SEC Network

Utah at BYU · FOX

Cincinnati at Oklahoma State · ESPN2

Nevada at New Mexico · FS1

Florida State at Stanford · ESPN

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 8, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 8). How the model works.