๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

#1Ohio State Buckeyes

7โ€“0 ยท 4โ€“0 BIG TEN
In the books
WEEK 10 ยท 2025
The Week 10 recap

Ohio State beat Penn State. Playoff odds moved from >99% to >99%.

Your game

Penn State at Ohio State
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Big Ten title-game chanceEntering77%Win86%Loss49%
Penn State
Penn State 26%Ohio State 74%
Ohio State
Final ยท Penn State 14โ€“38 Ohio StateWish granted โœ“

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Ohio State wanted
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Impact 1
Indiana
at
Rooted for
Maryland
Final ยท Indiana 55โ€“10 MarylandWent the other way โœ—
Projected 6.0-point title-game boost

Indiana won instead, so Ohio State did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection82% if Maryland won76% with the other result6-point differenceOhio State Big Ten title-game chance
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Impact 2
Rooted for
Purdue
at
Michigan
Final ยท Purdue 16โ€“21 MichiganWent the other way โœ—
Projected 3.2-point title-game boost

Michigan won instead, so Ohio State did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection80% if Purdue won76% with the other result3.2-point differenceOhio State Big Ten title-game chance
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Impact 3
Michigan State
at
Rooted for
Minnesota
Final ยท Michigan State 20โ€“23 MinnesotaWish granted โœ“
Projected 2.2-point title-game boost

Michigan State lost, improving Ohio State's place in the Big Ten standings.

Entering-week projection77% if Minnesota won75% with the other result2.2-point differenceOhio State Big Ten title-game chance
48 other games had little impact
Georgia at Florida ยท ABC
Marshall at Coastal Carolina ยท ESPN2
USC at Nebraska ยท NBC
New Mexico State at Western Kentucky ยท ESPN+
UTEP at Kennesaw State ยท ESPNU
James Madison at Texas State ยท ESPN2
Jacksonville State at Middle Tennessee ยท ESPN2
Florida International at Missouri State ยท CBSSN
Tulane at UTSA ยท ESPN
Memphis at Rice ยท ESPN2
North Carolina at Syracuse ยท ESPN
Sam Houston at Louisiana Tech ยท CBSSN
Vanderbilt at Texas ยท ABC
Rutgers at Illinois ยท NBC
Duke at Clemson ยท ACC Network
Miami at SMU ยท ESPN
UCF at Baylor ยท ESPNU
West Virginia at Houston ยท FS1
UAB at UConn ยท CBSSN
Army at Air Force ยท CBS
Navy at North Texas ยท ESPN2
Buffalo at Bowling Green ยท ESPN+
Arizona State at Iowa State ยท TNT
East Carolina at Temple ยท ESPN+
Louisville at Virginia Tech ยท The CW Network
New Mexico at UNLV
Pittsburgh at Stanford ยท ACC Network
Notre Dame at Boston College ยท ESPN
Texas Tech at Kansas State ยท FOX
Delaware at Liberty ยท CBSSN
Fresno State at Boise State ยท FS1
Old Dominion at UL Monroe ยท ESPN+
Louisiana at South Alabama ยท ESPN+
Virginia at California ยท ESPN2
Mississippi State at Arkansas ยท SEC Network
Oklahoma State at Kansas ยท ESPN+
Central Michigan at Western Michigan ยท ESPNU
South Carolina at Ole Miss ยท ESPN
Arizona at Colorado ยท FS1
Wyoming at San Diego State ยท CBSSN
Kentucky at Auburn ยท SEC Network
Oklahoma at Tennessee ยท ABC
Washington State at Oregon State ยท CBS
Wake Forest at Florida State ยท ACC Network
Georgia Tech at NC State ยท ESPN2
Arkansas State at Troy ยท ESPNU
Cincinnati at Utah ยท ESPN
Hawai'i at San Josรฉ State ยท CBSSN
The rooting list was:Ohio State, then Maryland, Purdue, Minnesota.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 10, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 10). How the model works.