#1Ohio State Buckeyes
4–0 · 1–0 BIG TEN
In the books
WEEK 6 · 2025
50%
Big Ten title game
26%
Win the Big Ten
100%
Make the playoff
>99%
First-round bye
avg seed 1.2
How the week went: playoff odds 100% → 100% · title-game odds 50% → 68%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Ohio State's pathYour game
…
… · NBC
Minnesota at #1 Ohio State
Your game. You're essentially in — this is about seeding: win and you're looking at roughly the 1st seed, lose and it's closer to the 2nd.
Final · Minnesota 3–42 Ohio StateWish granted ✓
Just win
Big swingsthese move your odds the most
…
… · CBS
#7 Penn State at UCLA
Big Ten race: Penn State losing helps your spot in the standings; UCLA visits your schedule in week 12 — keep them ranked.
Final · Penn State 37–42 UCLAWish granted ✓
Root for UCLA+9.5 pp title-game odds
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · FOX
Wisconsin at #20 Michigan
Big Ten race: Michigan losing helps your spot in the standings; Wisconsin visits your schedule in week 8 — keep them ranked.
Final · Wisconsin 10–24 MichiganWent the other way ✗
Root for Wisconsin+5.2 pp title-game odds
…
… · BTN
Washington at Maryland
Big Ten race: Maryland losing helps your spot in the standings; you beat Washington — their wins make your résumé stronger.
Final · Washington 24–20 MarylandWish granted ✓
Root for Washington+2.9 pp title-game odds
46 more games that don't move your needle
Sam Houston at New Mexico State · CBSSN
Western Kentucky at Delaware · CBSSN
Charlotte at South Florida · ESPN2
New Mexico at San José State · FS1
West Virginia at BYU · ESPN
Colorado State at San Diego State · CBSSN
Kentucky at Georgia · ABC
Illinois at Purdue · BTN
Boston College at Pittsburgh · ACC Network
Clemson at North Carolina · ESPN
Kansas State at Baylor · ESPN+
Iowa State at Cincinnati · ESPN2
Air Force at Navy · CBS
Army at UAB · ESPNU
Ohio at Ball State · CBSSN
Wake Forest at Virginia Tech · The CW Network
UTSA at Temple · ESPN+
Western Michigan at Massachusetts · ESPN+
Oklahoma State at Arizona · truTV
Vanderbilt at Alabama · ABC
Texas at Florida · ESPN
UL Monroe at Northwestern · BTN
Oregon State at App State · ESPN+
Virginia at Louisville · ESPN2
Syracuse at SMU · ACC Network
Boise State at Notre Dame · NBC
Florida International at UConn · CBSSN
James Madison at Georgia State · ESPN+
Central Michigan at Akron · ESPN+
Eastern Michigan at Buffalo · ESPN+
Miami (OH) at Northern Illinois · ESPN+
Kent State at Oklahoma · SEC Network
Michigan State at Nebraska · FS1
Texas State at Arkansas State · ESPNU
Coastal Carolina at Old Dominion · ESPN+
Texas Tech at Houston · ESPN
UNLV at Wyoming · CBSSN
South Alabama at Troy · ESPN+
Florida Atlantic at Rice · ESPN+
Mississippi State at Texas A&M · SEC Network
Miami at Florida State · ABC
Colorado at TCU · FOX
Kansas at UCF · ESPN2
Tulsa at Memphis · ESPNU
Duke at California · ESPN
Nevada at Fresno State · CBSSN
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 6, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 6).