๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

Liberty Flames

2โ€“4 ยท 1โ€“1 CONFERENCE USA
In the books
WEEK 8 ยท 2025
The Week 8 recap

Liberty beat New Mexico State. Playoff odds moved from <1% to <1%.

Your game

New Mexico State at Liberty
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CUSA title-game chanceEntering19%Win22%Loss5%
New Mexico State
New Mexico State 18%Liberty 82%
Liberty
Final ยท New Mexico State 27โ€“30 LibertyWish granted โœ“

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Liberty wanted
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Impact 1
Rooted for
Florida International
at
Western Kentucky
Final ยท Florida International 25โ€“6 Western KentuckyWish granted โœ“
Projected 6.9-point title-game boost

Western Kentucky lost, improving Liberty's place in the Conference USA standings.

Entering-week projection25% if Florida International won18% with the other result6.9-point differenceLiberty CUSA title-game chance
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Impact 2
Rooted for
Delaware
at
Jacksonville State
Final ยท Delaware 25โ€“38 Jacksonville StateWent the other way โœ—
Projected 2.0-point title-game boost

Jacksonville State won instead, so Liberty did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection21% if Delaware won19% with the other result2-point differenceLiberty CUSA title-game chance
56 other games had little impact
Arkansas State at South Alabama ยท ESPN2
UTEP at Sam Houston ยท CBSSN
Tulsa at East Carolina ยท ESPN
Louisville at Miami ยท ESPN
Nebraska at Minnesota ยท FOX
San Josรฉ State at Utah State ยท CBSSN
North Carolina at California ยท ESPN
LSU at Vanderbilt ยท ABC
Washington at Michigan ยท FOX
Georgia Tech at Duke ยท ESPN
UConn at Boston College ยท ACC Network
Arizona at Houston ยท FS1
Baylor at TCU ยท ESPN2
Army at Tulane ยท ESPNU
Central Michigan at Bowling Green ยท CBSSN
Eastern Michigan at Miami (OH) ยท ESPN+
Oklahoma at South Carolina ยท SEC Network
West Virginia at UCF ยท TNT
Kent State at Toledo ยท ESPN+
Buffalo at Massachusetts ยท ESPN+
Purdue at Northwestern ยท BTN
Troy at UL Monroe ยท ESPN+
Texas A&M at Arkansas ยท ESPN
Ole Miss at Georgia ยท ABC
Ohio State at Wisconsin ยท CBS
Michigan State at Indiana ยท Peacock
SMU at Clemson ยท ACC Network
Wyoming at Air Force ยท CBSSN
UNLV at Boise State ยท FS1
Coastal Carolina at App State ยท ESPN+
Old Dominion at James Madison ยท ESPNU
Texas State at Marshall ยท ESPN+
Temple at Charlotte ยท ESPN+
UTSA at North Texas ยท ESPN+
Akron at Ball State ยท ESPN+
Northern Illinois at Ohio ยท ESPN+
Texas Tech at Arizona State ยท FOX
Memphis at UAB ยท ESPN2
Mississippi State at Florida ยท SEC Network
Southern Miss at Louisiana ยท ESPN+
Oregon at Rutgers ยท BTN
Washington State at Virginia ยท The CW Network
Texas at Kentucky ยท ESPN
Penn State at Iowa ยท Peacock
Maryland at UCLA ยท FS1
Hawai'i at Colorado State
Georgia State at Georgia Southern ยท ESPN+
Tennessee at Alabama ยท ABC
USC at Notre Dame ยท NBC
Pittsburgh at Syracuse ยท ACC Network
Florida Atlantic at South Florida ยท ESPNU
Missouri at Auburn ยท SEC Network
Utah at BYU ยท FOX
Cincinnati at Oklahoma State ยท ESPN2
Nevada at New Mexico ยท FS1
Florida State at Stanford ยท ESPN
The rooting list was:Liberty, then Florida International, Delaware.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 8, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 8). How the model works.