Liberty Flames
1–2 · 0–1 CONFERENCE USA
In the books
WEEK 4 · 2025
20%
CUSA title game
8%
Win the CUSA
<1%
Make the playoff
0%
First-round bye
avg seed 12.0
How the week went: playoff odds <1% → 0% · title-game odds 20% → 15%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Liberty's pathYour game
…
… · ESPNU
James Madison at Liberty
Your game. Win and your Conference USA title-game odds are 23%; lose and they fall to 17%.
Final · James Madison 31–13 LibertyWent the other way ✗
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ESPN+
Southern Miss at Louisiana Tech
Conference USA race: Louisiana Tech losing helps your spot in the standings; you still play Louisiana Tech in week 13.
Final · Southern Miss 20–30 Louisiana TechWent the other way ✗
Root for Southern Miss+2.8 pp title-game odds
48 more games that don't move your needle
Delaware at Florida International · ESPN+
Rice at Charlotte · ESPN
Tulsa at Oklahoma State · ESPN
Iowa at Rutgers · FOX
Arkansas at Memphis · ABC
Maryland at Wisconsin · NBC
Syracuse at Clemson · ESPN
SMU at TCU · ESPN
Bowling Green at Louisville · ACC Network
Texas Tech at Utah · FOX
UNLV at Miami (OH) · ESPNU
North Texas at Army · CBSSN
UAB at Tennessee · SEC Network
Oregon State at Oregon · BTN
Tulane at Ole Miss · ESPN
Auburn at Oklahoma · ABC
Michigan at Nebraska · CBS
Purdue at Notre Dame · NBC
Kent State at Florida State · ACC Network
North Carolina at UCF · FOX
Ball State at UConn · CBSSN
Louisiana at Eastern Michigan · ESPN+
Troy at Buffalo · ESPN+
Toledo at Western Michigan · ESPN+
NC State at Duke · ESPN2
Northern Illinois at Mississippi State · SEC Network
Temple at Georgia Tech · The CW Network
West Virginia at Kansas · FS1
Arkansas State at Kennesaw State · ESPN+
South Carolina at Missouri · ESPN
Marshall at Middle Tennessee · ESPN+
Nevada at Western Kentucky · ESPN+
Boise State at Air Force · CBSSN
Coastal Carolina at South Alabama · ESPN+
Florida at Miami · ABC
Georgia State at Vanderbilt · ESPNU
Washington at Washington State · CBS
Illinois at Indiana · NBC
Stanford at Virginia · ACC Network
Arizona State at Baylor · FOX
BYU at East Carolina · ESPN2
Sam Houston at Texas · ESPN+
UL Monroe at UTEP · ESPN+
UTSA at Colorado State · FS1
Wyoming at Colorado · ESPN
California at San Diego State · CBSSN
Michigan State at USC · FOX
Fresno State at Hawai'i
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 4, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 4).