๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

Liberty Flames

1โ€“4 ยท 0โ€“1 CONFERENCE USA
In the books
WEEK 7 ยท 2025
The Week 7 recap

Liberty beat UTEP. Playoff odds moved from <1% to <1%.

Your game

Liberty at UTEP
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CUSA title-game chanceEntering11%Win14%Loss4%
Liberty
Liberty 68%UTEP 32%
UTEP
Final ยท Liberty 19โ€“8 UTEPWish granted โœ“

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Liberty wanted
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Impact 1
Louisiana Tech
at
Rooted for
Kennesaw State
Final ยท Louisiana Tech 7โ€“35 Kennesaw StateWish granted โœ“
Projected 3.3-point title-game boost

Louisiana Tech lost, improving Liberty's place in the Conference USA standings.

Entering-week projection13% if Kennesaw State won10% with the other result3.3-point differenceLiberty CUSA title-game chance
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Impact 2
Jacksonville State
at
Rooted for
Sam Houston
Final ยท Jacksonville State 29โ€“27 Sam HoustonWent the other way โœ—
Projected 2.3-point title-game boost

Jacksonville State won instead, so Liberty did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection13% if Sam Houston won11% with the other result2.3-point differenceLiberty CUSA title-game chance
53 other games had little impact
Missouri State at Middle Tennessee ยท ESPN2
East Carolina at Tulane ยท ESPN
Southern Miss at Georgia Southern ยท ESPN2
South Florida at North Texas ยท ESPN2
Rutgers at Washington ยท FS1
Fresno State at Colorado State ยท CBSSN
Alabama at Missouri ยท ABC
UCLA at Michigan State ยท BTN
Ohio State at Illinois ยท FOX
Pittsburgh at Florida State ยท ESPN
Stanford at SMU ยท The CW Network
UCF at Cincinnati ยท FS1
Houston at Oklahoma State ยท TNT
Louisiana at James Madison ยท ESPN2
Charlotte at Army ยท CBSSN
Miami (OH) at Akron ยท ESPN+
Toledo at Bowling Green ยท ESPNU
Washington State at Ole Miss ยท SEC Network
Northern Illinois at Eastern Michigan ยท ESPN+
Massachusetts at Kent State ยท ESPN+
Oklahoma at Texas ยท ABC
Northwestern at Penn State ยท FS1
Nebraska at Maryland ยท BTN
Indiana at Oregon ยท CBS
Virginia Tech at Georgia Tech ยท ACC Network
NC State at Notre Dame ยท Peacock
Wake Forest at Oregon State ยท The CW Network
Iowa State at Colorado ยท ESPN
TCU at Kansas State ยท FOX
Air Force at UNLV ยท CBSSN
App State at Georgia State ยท ESPN+
Old Dominion at Marshall ยท ESPN+
Ball State at Western Michigan ยท ESPN+
Navy at Temple ยท ESPN2
Arkansas at Tennessee ยท SEC Network
UAB at Florida Atlantic ยท ESPN+
Florida at Texas A&M ยท ESPN
Iowa at Wisconsin ยท FS1
San Josรฉ State at Wyoming ยท CBSSN
UL Monroe at Coastal Carolina ยท ESPN+
Georgia at Auburn ยท ABC
Purdue at Minnesota ยท BTN
Michigan at USC ยท NBC
Clemson at Boston College ยท ACC Network
Kansas at Texas Tech ยท FOX
Rice at UTSA ยท ESPNU
South Carolina at LSU ยท SEC Network
BYU at Arizona ยท ESPN2
Troy at Texas State ยท ESPN+
New Mexico at Boise State ยท FS1
Arizona State at Utah ยท ESPN
San Diego State at Nevada ยท CBSSN
Utah State at Hawai'i
The rooting list was:Liberty, then Kennesaw State, Sam Houston.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 7, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 7). How the model works.