๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

Duke Blue Devils

4โ€“2 ยท 3โ€“0 ACC
In the books
WEEK 8 ยท 2025
The Week 8 recap

Duke lost to Georgia Tech. Playoff odds moved from 11% to 3%.

Your game

Georgia Tech at Duke
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ACC title-game chanceEntering46%Win60%Loss16%
Georgia Tech
Georgia Tech 32%Duke 68%
Duke
Final ยท Georgia Tech 27โ€“18 DukeWent the other way โœ—

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Duke wanted
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Impact 1
SMU
at
Rooted for
Clemson
Final ยท SMU 35โ€“24 ClemsonWent the other way โœ—
Projected 6.1-point title-game boost

SMU won instead, so Duke did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection48% if Clemson won42% with the other result6.1-point differenceDuke ACC title-game chance
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Impact 2
Pittsburgh
at
Rooted for
Syracuse
Final ยท Pittsburgh 30โ€“13 SyracuseWent the other way โœ—
Projected 4.1-point title-game boost

Pittsburgh won instead, so Duke did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection49% if Syracuse won45% with the other result4.1-point differenceDuke ACC title-game chance
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Impact 3
Rooted for
Louisville
at
Miami
Final ยท Louisville 24โ€“21 MiamiWish granted โœ“
Projected 2.3-point playoff boost

Louisville won, thinning out the at-large competition for Duke's playoff spot.

Entering-week projection12% if Louisville won10% with the other result2.3-point differenceDuke playoff chance
55 other games had little impact
Washington State at Virginia ยท The CW Network
New Mexico State at Liberty ยท CBSSN
Arkansas State at South Alabama ยท ESPN2
Florida International at Western Kentucky ยท ESPNU
Delaware at Jacksonville State ยท ESPN2
UTEP at Sam Houston ยท CBSSN
Tulsa at East Carolina ยท ESPN
Nebraska at Minnesota ยท FOX
San Josรฉ State at Utah State ยท CBSSN
North Carolina at California ยท ESPN
LSU at Vanderbilt ยท ABC
Washington at Michigan ยท FOX
UConn at Boston College ยท ACC Network
Arizona at Houston ยท FS1
Baylor at TCU ยท ESPN2
Army at Tulane ยท ESPNU
Central Michigan at Bowling Green ยท CBSSN
Eastern Michigan at Miami (OH) ยท ESPN+
Oklahoma at South Carolina ยท SEC Network
West Virginia at UCF ยท TNT
Kent State at Toledo ยท ESPN+
Buffalo at Massachusetts ยท ESPN+
Purdue at Northwestern ยท BTN
Troy at UL Monroe ยท ESPN+
Texas A&M at Arkansas ยท ESPN
Ole Miss at Georgia ยท ABC
Ohio State at Wisconsin ยท CBS
Michigan State at Indiana ยท Peacock
Wyoming at Air Force ยท CBSSN
UNLV at Boise State ยท FS1
Coastal Carolina at App State ยท ESPN+
Old Dominion at James Madison ยท ESPNU
Texas State at Marshall ยท ESPN+
Temple at Charlotte ยท ESPN+
UTSA at North Texas ยท ESPN+
Akron at Ball State ยท ESPN+
Northern Illinois at Ohio ยท ESPN+
Texas Tech at Arizona State ยท FOX
Memphis at UAB ยท ESPN2
Mississippi State at Florida ยท SEC Network
Southern Miss at Louisiana ยท ESPN+
Oregon at Rutgers ยท BTN
Texas at Kentucky ยท ESPN
Penn State at Iowa ยท Peacock
Maryland at UCLA ยท FS1
Hawai'i at Colorado State
Georgia State at Georgia Southern ยท ESPN+
Tennessee at Alabama ยท ABC
USC at Notre Dame ยท NBC
Florida Atlantic at South Florida ยท ESPNU
Missouri at Auburn ยท SEC Network
Utah at BYU ยท FOX
Cincinnati at Oklahoma State ยท ESPN2
Nevada at New Mexico ยท FS1
Florida State at Stanford ยท ESPN
The rooting list was:Duke, then Clemson, Syracuse, Louisville.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 8, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 8). How the model works.