๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

Duke Blue Devils

3โ€“2 ยท 2โ€“0 ACC
In the books
WEEK 6 ยท 2025
The Week 6 recap

Duke beat California. Playoff odds moved from 5% to 11%.

Your game

Duke at California
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ACC title-game chanceEntering27%Win38%Loss10%
Duke
Duke 58%California 42%
California
Final ยท Duke 45โ€“21 CaliforniaWish granted โœ“

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Duke wanted
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Impact 1
Miami
at
Rooted for
Florida State
Final ยท Miami 28โ€“22 Florida StateWent the other way โœ—
Projected 5.4-point title-game boost

Miami won instead, so Duke did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection31% if Florida State won25% with the other result5.4-point differenceDuke ACC title-game chance
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Impact 2
Rooted for
Virginia
at
Louisville
Final ยท Virginia 30โ€“27 LouisvilleWish granted โœ“
Projected 4.5-point title-game boost

Louisville lost, improving Duke's place in the ACC standings.

Entering-week projection30% if Virginia won26% with the other result4.5-point differenceDuke ACC title-game chance
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Impact 3
Rooted for
Syracuse
at
SMU
Final ยท Syracuse 18โ€“31 SMUWent the other way โœ—
Projected 3.8-point title-game boost

SMU won instead, so Duke did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection30% if Syracuse won26% with the other result3.8-point differenceDuke ACC title-game chance
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Impact 4
Rooted for
Wake Forest
at
Virginia Tech
Final ยท Wake Forest 30โ€“23 Virginia TechWish granted โœ“
Projected 2.2-point title-game boost

Virginia Tech lost, improving Duke's place in the ACC standings.

Entering-week projection28% if Wake Forest won26% with the other result2.2-point differenceDuke ACC title-game chance
45 other games had little impact
Sam Houston at New Mexico State ยท CBSSN
Western Kentucky at Delaware ยท CBSSN
Charlotte at South Florida ยท ESPN2
New Mexico at San Josรฉ State ยท FS1
West Virginia at BYU ยท ESPN
Colorado State at San Diego State ยท CBSSN
Kentucky at Georgia ยท ABC
Wisconsin at Michigan ยท FOX
Illinois at Purdue ยท BTN
Boston College at Pittsburgh ยท ACC Network
Clemson at North Carolina ยท ESPN
Kansas State at Baylor ยท ESPN+
Iowa State at Cincinnati ยท ESPN2
Air Force at Navy ยท CBS
Army at UAB ยท ESPNU
Ohio at Ball State ยท CBSSN
UTSA at Temple ยท ESPN+
Western Michigan at Massachusetts ยท ESPN+
Oklahoma State at Arizona ยท truTV
Vanderbilt at Alabama ยท ABC
Texas at Florida ยท ESPN
Penn State at UCLA ยท CBS
Washington at Maryland ยท BTN
UL Monroe at Northwestern ยท BTN
Oregon State at App State ยท ESPN+
Boise State at Notre Dame ยท NBC
Florida International at UConn ยท CBSSN
James Madison at Georgia State ยท ESPN+
Central Michigan at Akron ยท ESPN+
Eastern Michigan at Buffalo ยท ESPN+
Miami (OH) at Northern Illinois ยท ESPN+
Kent State at Oklahoma ยท SEC Network
Michigan State at Nebraska ยท FS1
Texas State at Arkansas State ยท ESPNU
Coastal Carolina at Old Dominion ยท ESPN+
Texas Tech at Houston ยท ESPN
UNLV at Wyoming ยท CBSSN
South Alabama at Troy ยท ESPN+
Florida Atlantic at Rice ยท ESPN+
Mississippi State at Texas A&M ยท SEC Network
Minnesota at Ohio State ยท NBC
Colorado at TCU ยท FOX
Kansas at UCF ยท ESPN2
Tulsa at Memphis ยท ESPNU
Nevada at Fresno State ยท CBSSN
The rooting list was:Duke, then Florida State, Virginia, Syracuse, Wake Forest.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 6, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 6). How the model works.