🏈 Fan Watch

#19Louisville Cardinals

5–1 · 2–1 ACC
In the books
WEEK 9 · 2025
The Week 9 recap

Louisville beat Boston College. Playoff odds moved from 18% to 23%.

Your game

Boston College at Louisville
…
…
ACC Network
ACC title-game chanceEntering28%Win29%Loss6%
Boston College
Boston College 5%Louisville 95%
Louisville
Final · Boston College 24–38 LouisvilleWish granted ✓

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Louisville wanted
…
…
ESPN
Impact 1
Rooted for
Syracuse
at
Georgia Tech
Final · Syracuse 16–41 Georgia TechWent the other way ✗
Projected 8.6-point title-game boost

Georgia Tech won instead, so Louisville did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection35% if Syracuse won27% with the other result8.6-point differenceLouisville ACC title-game chance
…
…
The CW Network
Impact 2
SMU
at
Rooted for
Wake Forest
Final · SMU 12–13 Wake ForestWish granted ✓
Projected 7.2-point title-game boost

SMU lost, improving Louisville's place in the ACC standings.

Entering-week projection33% if Wake Forest won26% with the other result7.2-point differenceLouisville ACC title-game chance
…
…
ACC Network
Impact 3
Virginia
at
Rooted for
North Carolina
Final · Virginia 17–16 North CarolinaWent the other way ✗
Projected 5.9-point title-game boost

Virginia won instead, so Louisville did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection32% if North Carolina won26% with the other result5.9-point differenceLouisville ACC title-game chance
…
…
ESPN
Impact 4
Rooted for
Stanford
at
Miami
Final · Stanford 7–42 MiamiWent the other way ✗
Projected 3.6-point playoff boost

Miami won instead, so Louisville did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection22% if Stanford won18% with the other result3.6-point differenceLouisville playoff chance
48 other games had little impact
Northwestern at Nebraska · FS1
Kennesaw State at Florida International · ESPNU
Western Kentucky at Louisiana Tech · CBSSN
Middle Tennessee at Delaware · ESPN2
Missouri State at New Mexico State · CBSSN
South Alabama at Georgia State · ESPN2
North Texas at Charlotte · ESPN2
California at Virginia Tech · ESPN
Boise State at Nevada · CBSSN
Ole Miss at Oklahoma · ABC
Rutgers at Purdue · BTN
UCLA at Indiana · FOX
Kansas State at Kansas · TNT
App State at Old Dominion · ESPNU
South Florida at Memphis · ESPN2
Bowling Green at Kent State · ESPN+
Ohio at Eastern Michigan · CBSSN
Auburn at Arkansas · SEC Network
Akron at Buffalo · ESPN+
UConn at Rice · ESPN+
Utah State at New Mexico
Alabama at South Carolina · ABC
Missouri at Vanderbilt · ESPN
Illinois at Washington · BTN
Minnesota at Iowa · CBS
Toledo at Washington State · The CW Network
NC State at Pittsburgh · ACC Network
BYU at Iowa State · FOX
San Diego State at Fresno State · FS1
UL Monroe at Southern Miss · ESPN+
Florida Atlantic at Navy · CBSSN
Temple at Tulsa · ESPN+
Ball State at Northern Illinois · ESPN+
Massachusetts at Central Michigan · ESPN+
Western Michigan at Miami (OH) · ESPN+
Baylor at Cincinnati · ESPN2
Oklahoma State at Texas Tech · ESPNU
Texas at Mississippi State · SEC Network
TCU at West Virginia · ESPN+
Wisconsin at Oregon · FS1
Georgia Southern at Arkansas State · ESPN+
Louisiana at Troy · ESPN+
Texas A&M at LSU · ABC
Michigan at Michigan State · NBC
Colorado State at Wyoming · CBSSN
Tennessee at Kentucky · SEC Network
Houston at Arizona State · ESPN2
Colorado at Utah · ESPN
The rooting list was:Louisville, then Syracuse, Wake Forest, North Carolina, Stanford.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 9, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 9). How the model works.