#16Louisville Cardinals
6–1 · 3–1 ACC
In the books
WEEK 10 · 2025
28%
ACC title game
16%
Win the ACC
16%
Make the playoff
0%
First-round bye
avg seed 10.1
How the week went: playoff odds 16% → 23% · title-game odds 28% → 34%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Louisville's pathYour game
…
… · The CW Network
#16 Louisville at Virginia Tech
Your game. Beat Virginia Tech and your playoff odds are 19%; lose and they drop to 4%.
Final · Louisville 28–16 Virginia TechWish granted ✓
Just win
Big swingsthese move your odds the most
…
… · ESPN2
#8 Georgia Tech at NC State
ACC race: Georgia Tech losing helps your spot in the standings.
Final · Georgia Tech 36–48 NC StateWish granted ✓
Root for NC State+11.8 pp title-game odds
…
… · ESPN2
#15 Virginia at California
ACC race: Virginia losing helps your spot in the standings; Virginia losing softens the sting of your loss to them; California visits your schedule in week 11 — keep them ranked.
Final · Virginia 31–21 CaliforniaWent the other way ✗
Root for California+10.8 pp title-game odds
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ACC Network
Duke at Clemson
ACC race: Duke losing helps your spot in the standings; Clemson visits your schedule in week 12 — keep them ranked.
Final · Duke 46–45 ClemsonWent the other way ✗
Root for Clemson+4.4 pp title-game odds
…
… · ESPN
#10 Miami at SMU
You already beat Miami; them losing again keeps them behind you; SMU visits your schedule in week 13 — keep them ranked.
Final · Miami 20–26 SMUWish granted ✓
Root for SMU+1.4 pp playoff odds
47 more games that don't move your needle
UTEP at Kennesaw State · ESPNU
James Madison at Texas State · ESPN2
Jacksonville State at Middle Tennessee · ESPN2
Florida International at Missouri State · CBSSN
Marshall at Coastal Carolina · ESPN2
Tulane at UTSA · ESPN
Memphis at Rice · ESPN2
North Carolina at Syracuse · ESPN
Sam Houston at Louisiana Tech · CBSSN
Vanderbilt at Texas · ABC
Penn State at Ohio State · FOX
Rutgers at Illinois · NBC
UCF at Baylor · ESPNU
West Virginia at Houston · FS1
UAB at UConn · CBSSN
Army at Air Force · CBS
Navy at North Texas · ESPN2
Buffalo at Bowling Green · ESPN+
Arizona State at Iowa State · TNT
East Carolina at Temple · ESPN+
New Mexico at UNLV
Georgia at Florida · ABC
Indiana at Maryland · CBS
Michigan State at Minnesota · BTN
Pittsburgh at Stanford · ACC Network
Notre Dame at Boston College · ESPN
Texas Tech at Kansas State · FOX
Delaware at Liberty · CBSSN
New Mexico State at Western Kentucky · ESPN+
Fresno State at Boise State · FS1
Old Dominion at UL Monroe · ESPN+
Louisiana at South Alabama · ESPN+
Mississippi State at Arkansas · SEC Network
Oklahoma State at Kansas · ESPN+
Central Michigan at Western Michigan · ESPNU
South Carolina at Ole Miss · ESPN
Purdue at Michigan · BTN
Arizona at Colorado · FS1
Wyoming at San Diego State · CBSSN
Kentucky at Auburn · SEC Network
Oklahoma at Tennessee · ABC
USC at Nebraska · NBC
Washington State at Oregon State · CBS
Wake Forest at Florida State · ACC Network
Arkansas State at Troy · ESPNU
Cincinnati at Utah · ESPN
Hawai'i at San José State · CBSSN
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 10, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 10).