๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

Louisville Cardinals

3โ€“0 ยท 0โ€“0 ACC
In the books
WEEK 5 ยท 2025
The Week 5 recap

Louisville beat Pittsburgh. Playoff odds moved from 18% to 19%.

Your game

Louisville at Pittsburgh
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ACC title-game chanceEntering36%Win45%Loss16%
Louisville
Louisville 71%Pittsburgh 29%
Pittsburgh
Final ยท Louisville 34โ€“27 PittsburghWish granted โœ“

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Louisville wanted
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Impact 1
Georgia Tech
at
Rooted for
Wake Forest
Final ยท Georgia Tech 30โ€“29 Wake ForestWent the other way โœ—
Projected 4.1-point title-game boost

Georgia Tech won instead, so Louisville did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection39% if Wake Forest won35% with the other result4.1-point differenceLouisville ACC title-game chance
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Impact 2
Rooted for
Kentucky
at
South Carolina
Final ยท Kentucky 13โ€“35 South CarolinaWent the other way โœ—
Projected 1.2-point playoff boost

South Carolina won instead, so Louisville did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection19% if Kentucky won18% with the other result1.2-point differenceLouisville playoff chance
48 other games had little impact
Virginia Tech at NC State ยท The CW Network
Florida State at Virginia ยท ESPN
Army at East Carolina ยท ESPN
TCU at Arizona State ยท FOX
Houston at Oregon State ยท ESPN
Notre Dame at Arkansas ยท ABC
Rutgers at Minnesota ยท BTN
USC at Illinois ยท FOX
Duke at Syracuse ยท ACC Network
Cincinnati at Kansas ยท TNT
UCF at Kansas State ยท FS1
South Alabama at North Texas ยท ESPNU
Bowling Green at Ohio ยท CBSSN
Utah State at Vanderbilt ยท SEC Network
Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan ยท ESPN+
Georgia Southern at James Madison ยท ESPN+
Arkansas State at UL Monroe ยท ESPN+
LSU at Ole Miss ยท ABC
Auburn at Texas A&M ยท ESPN
UCLA at Northwestern ยท BTN
Ohio State at Washington ยท CBS
Indiana at Iowa ยท Peacock
California at Boston College ยท ACC Network
Baylor at Oklahoma State ยท ESPN2
Utah at West Virginia ยท FOX
UConn at Buffalo ยท ESPN+
San Diego State at Northern Illinois ยท ESPN+
Rice at Navy ยท CBSSN
Akron at Toledo ยท ESPN+
New Mexico State at New Mexico
Hawai'i at Air Force ยท FS1
Tulane at Tulsa ยท ESPNU
Tennessee at Mississippi State ยท SEC Network
Middle Tennessee at Kennesaw State ยท ESPN+
Liberty at Old Dominion ยท ESPN+
Arizona at Iowa State ยท ESPN
Jacksonville State at Southern Miss ยท ESPN+
Western Kentucky at Missouri State ยท ESPN+
Memphis at Florida Atlantic ยท ESPN2
Alabama at Georgia ยท ABC
Massachusetts at Missouri ยท ESPNU
Oregon at Penn State ยท NBC
Washington State at Colorado State ยท CBSSN
San Josรฉ State at Stanford ยท ACC Network
App State at Boise State ยท FS1
Marshall at Louisiana ยท ESPN+
Louisiana Tech at UTEP ยท ESPN+
BYU at Colorado ยท ESPN
The rooting list was:Louisville, then Wake Forest, Kentucky.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 5, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 5). How the model works.