๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

#23Utah Utes

5โ€“1 ยท 2โ€“1 BIG 12
In the books
WEEK 8 ยท 2025
The Week 8 recap

Utah lost to BYU. Playoff odds moved from 18% to 10%.

Your game

Utah at BYU
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Big 12 title-game chanceEntering33%Win55%Loss13%
Utah
Utah 49%BYU 51%
BYU
Final ยท Utah 21โ€“24 BYUWent the other way โœ—

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Utah wanted
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Impact 1
Texas Tech
at
Rooted for
Arizona State
Final ยท Texas Tech 22โ€“26 Arizona StateWish granted โœ“
Projected 2.8-point playoff boost

Arizona State won, making Utah's earlier win over them look better.

Entering-week projection20% if Arizona State won17% with the other result2.8-point differenceUtah playoff chance
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Impact 2
Tulsa
at
Rooted for
East Carolina
Final ยท Tulsa 27โ€“41 East CarolinaWish granted โœ“
Projected 2.3-point playoff boost

East Carolina won, thinning out the at-large competition for Utah's playoff spot.

Entering-week projection18% if East Carolina won16% with the other result2.3-point differenceUtah playoff chance
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Impact 3
Cincinnati
at
Rooted for
Oklahoma State
Final ยท Cincinnati 49โ€“17 Oklahoma StateWent the other way โœ—
Projected 3.4-point title-game boost

Cincinnati won instead, so Utah did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection36% if Oklahoma State won33% with the other result3.4-point differenceUtah Big 12 title-game chance
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Impact 4
Florida International
at
Rooted for
Western Kentucky
Final ยท Florida International 25โ€“6 Western KentuckyWent the other way โœ—
Projected 1.2-point playoff boost

Florida International won instead, so Utah did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection18% if Western Kentucky won17% with the other result1.2-point differenceUtah playoff chance
54 other games had little impact
New Mexico State at Liberty ยท CBSSN
Arkansas State at South Alabama ยท ESPN2
Delaware at Jacksonville State ยท ESPN2
UTEP at Sam Houston ยท CBSSN
Louisville at Miami ยท ESPN
Nebraska at Minnesota ยท FOX
San Josรฉ State at Utah State ยท CBSSN
North Carolina at California ยท ESPN
LSU at Vanderbilt ยท ABC
Washington at Michigan ยท FOX
Georgia Tech at Duke ยท ESPN
UConn at Boston College ยท ACC Network
Arizona at Houston ยท FS1
Baylor at TCU ยท ESPN2
Army at Tulane ยท ESPNU
Central Michigan at Bowling Green ยท CBSSN
Eastern Michigan at Miami (OH) ยท ESPN+
Oklahoma at South Carolina ยท SEC Network
West Virginia at UCF ยท TNT
Kent State at Toledo ยท ESPN+
Buffalo at Massachusetts ยท ESPN+
Purdue at Northwestern ยท BTN
Troy at UL Monroe ยท ESPN+
Texas A&M at Arkansas ยท ESPN
Ole Miss at Georgia ยท ABC
Ohio State at Wisconsin ยท CBS
Michigan State at Indiana ยท Peacock
SMU at Clemson ยท ACC Network
Wyoming at Air Force ยท CBSSN
UNLV at Boise State ยท FS1
Coastal Carolina at App State ยท ESPN+
Old Dominion at James Madison ยท ESPNU
Texas State at Marshall ยท ESPN+
Temple at Charlotte ยท ESPN+
UTSA at North Texas ยท ESPN+
Akron at Ball State ยท ESPN+
Northern Illinois at Ohio ยท ESPN+
Memphis at UAB ยท ESPN2
Mississippi State at Florida ยท SEC Network
Southern Miss at Louisiana ยท ESPN+
Oregon at Rutgers ยท BTN
Washington State at Virginia ยท The CW Network
Texas at Kentucky ยท ESPN
Penn State at Iowa ยท Peacock
Maryland at UCLA ยท FS1
Hawai'i at Colorado State
Georgia State at Georgia Southern ยท ESPN+
Tennessee at Alabama ยท ABC
USC at Notre Dame ยท NBC
Pittsburgh at Syracuse ยท ACC Network
Florida Atlantic at South Florida ยท ESPNU
Missouri at Auburn ยท SEC Network
Nevada at New Mexico ยท FS1
Florida State at Stanford ยท ESPN
The rooting list was:Utah, then Arizona State, East Carolina, Oklahoma State, Western Kentucky.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 8, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 8). How the model works.