๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

#13Utah Utes

7โ€“2 ยท 4โ€“2 BIG 12
In the books
WEEK 11 ยท 2025
The Week 11 recap

Utah was off. Playoff odds moved from 47% to 46%.

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Utah wanted
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Impact 1
Rooted for
BYU
at
Texas Tech
Final ยท BYU 7โ€“29 Texas TechWent the other way โœ—
Projected 13.1-point title-game boost

Texas Tech won instead, so Utah did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection36% if BYU won23% with the other result13-point differenceUtah Big 12 title-game chance
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Impact 2
Georgia
at
Rooted for
Mississippi State
Final ยท Georgia 41โ€“21 Mississippi StateWent the other way โœ—
Projected 2.3-point playoff boost

Georgia won instead, so Utah did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection49% if Mississippi State won47% with the other result2.3-point differenceUtah playoff chance
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Impact 3
Rooted for
Kansas
at
Arizona
Final ยท Kansas 20โ€“24 ArizonaWent the other way โœ—
Projected 2.0-point playoff boost

Arizona won instead, so Utah did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection48% if Kansas won46% with the other result2-point differenceUtah playoff chance
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Impact 4
Iowa State
at
Rooted for
TCU
Final ยท Iowa State 20โ€“17 TCUWent the other way โœ—
Projected 2.1-point title-game boost

Iowa State won instead, so Utah did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection26% if TCU won24% with the other result2.1-point differenceUtah Big 12 title-game chance
47 other games had little impact
Massachusetts at Akron ยท CBSSN
Miami (OH) at Ohio ยท ESPN2
Kent State at Ball State ยท ESPNU
Northern Illinois at Toledo ยท ESPN2
Georgia Southern at App State ยท ESPN2
UTSA at South Florida ยท ESPN
Houston at UCF ยท FS1
Northwestern at USC ยท FOX
Tulane at Memphis ยท ESPN
Indiana at Penn State ยท FOX
SMU at Boston College ยท ACC Network
Colorado at West Virginia ยท TNT
James Madison at Marshall ยท ESPN2
Southern Miss at Arkansas State ยท ESPNU
Temple at Army ยท CBSSN
Ohio State at Purdue ยท BTN
Missouri State at Liberty ยท ESPN+
Bowling Green at Eastern Michigan ยท ESPN+
UAB at Rice ยท ESPN+
Maryland at Rutgers ยท FS1
Louisiana Tech at Delaware ยท ESPN+
Florida International at Middle Tennessee ยท ESPN+
Jacksonville State at UTEP ยท ESPN+
Charlotte at East Carolina ยท ESPN+
Tulsa at Florida Atlantic ยท ESPN+
Texas A&M at Missouri ยท ABC
Oregon at Iowa ยท CBS
Syracuse at Miami ยท ESPN
Duke at UConn ยท CBSSN
Auburn at Vanderbilt ยท SEC Network
Kennesaw State at New Mexico State ยท ESPN+
Georgia State at Coastal Carolina ยท ESPN+
Washington at Wisconsin ยท BTN
Stanford at North Carolina ยท The CW Network
Texas State at Louisiana ยท ESPN+
Air Force at San Josรฉ State ยท FS1
California at Louisville ยท ESPN2
Florida State at Clemson ยท ACC Network
Wake Forest at Virginia ยท ESPN
LSU at Alabama ยท ABC
Florida at Kentucky ยท SEC Network
Navy at Notre Dame ยท NBC
Nevada at Utah State ยท CBSSN
Nebraska at UCLA ยท FOX
UNLV at Colorado State ยท FS1
Sam Houston at Oregon State ยท The CW Network
San Diego State at Hawai'i
The rooting list was:Utah is off, then BYU, Mississippi State, Kansas, TCU.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 11, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 11). How the model works.