#13Utah Utes

9–2 · 6–2 BIG 12

In the books

WEEK 14 · 2025

The Week 14 recap

Utah beat Kansas. Playoff odds moved from 28% to 15%.

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ESPN

playoff chanceEntering28%Win31%Loss1%

Utah

Utah 90%Kansas 10%

Kansas

Final · Utah 31–21 KansasWish granted ✓

By impactBy kickoff

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ESPN

Impact 1

Texas Tech

at

Rooted for

West Virginia

Final · Texas Tech 49–0 West VirginiaWent the other way ✗

Projected 49.8-point title-game boost

Texas Tech won instead, so Utah did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection50% if West Virginia won0% with the other result50-point differenceUtah Big 12 title-game chance

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ABC

Impact 2

Ole Miss

at

Rooted for

Mississippi State

Final · Ole Miss 38–19 Mississippi StateWent the other way ✗

Projected 7.4-point playoff boost

Ole Miss won instead, so Utah did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection34% if Mississippi State won27% with the other result7.4-point differenceUtah playoff chance

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ABC

Impact 3

Rooted for

LSU

at

Oklahoma

Final · LSU 13–17 OklahomaWent the other way ✗

Projected 5.2-point playoff boost

Oklahoma won instead, so Utah did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection32% if LSU won27% with the other result5.2-point differenceUtah playoff chance

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ABC

Impact 4

Alabama

at

Rooted for

Auburn

Final · Alabama 27–20 AuburnWent the other way ✗

Projected 5.1-point playoff boost

Alabama won instead, so Utah did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection32% if Auburn won27% with the other result5.1-point differenceUtah playoff chance

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CBS

Impact 5

Oregon

at

Rooted for

Washington

Final · Oregon 26–14 WashingtonWent the other way ✗

Projected 4.6-point playoff boost

Oregon won instead, so Utah did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection31% if Washington won27% with the other result4.6-point differenceUtah playoff chance

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ESPN

Impact 6

Vanderbilt

at

Rooted for

Tennessee

Final · Vanderbilt 45–24 TennesseeWent the other way ✗

Projected 4.1-point playoff boost

Vanderbilt won instead, so Utah did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection29% if Tennessee won25% with the other result4.1-point differenceUtah playoff chance

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FOX

Impact 7

Rooted for

Ohio State

at

Michigan

Final · Ohio State 27–9 MichiganWish granted ✓

Projected 3.5-point playoff boost

Ohio State won, thinning out the at-large competition for Utah's playoff spot.

Entering-week projection29% if Ohio State won25% with the other result3.5-point differenceUtah playoff chance

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ABC

Impact 8

Miami

at

Rooted for

Pittsburgh

Final · Miami 38–7 PittsburghWent the other way ✗

Projected 3.0-point playoff boost

Miami won instead, so Utah did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection30% if Pittsburgh won27% with the other result3-point differenceUtah playoff chance

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ESPN

Impact 9

Rooted for

Virginia Tech

at

Virginia

Final · Virginia Tech 7–27 VirginiaWent the other way ✗

Projected 2.6-point playoff boost

Virginia won instead, so Utah did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection30% if Virginia Tech won27% with the other result2.6-point differenceUtah playoff chance

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FOX

Impact 10

Arizona

at

Rooted for

Arizona State

Final · Arizona 23–7 Arizona StateWent the other way ✗

Projected 3.4-point title-game boost

Arizona won instead, so Utah did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection3% if Arizona State won0% with the other result3.4-point differenceUtah Big 12 title-game chance

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ABC

Impact 11

Rooted for

Texas A&M

at

Texas

Final · Texas A&M 17–27 TexasWent the other way ✗

Projected 2.1-point playoff boost

Texas won instead, so Utah did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection29% if Texas A&M won27% with the other result2.1-point differenceUtah playoff chance

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ESPN2

Impact 12

UCF

at

Rooted for

BYU

Final · UCF 21–41 BYUWish granted ✓

Projected 2.3-point title-game boost

UCF lost, improving Utah's place in the Big 12 standings.

Entering-week projection2% if BYU won0% with the other result2.3-point differenceUtah Big 12 title-game chance

54 other games had little impact

Bowling Green at Massachusetts · ESPNU

Western Michigan at Eastern Michigan · ESPN2

Navy at Memphis · ESPN

Iowa at Nebraska · CBS

Ohio at Buffalo · ESPNU

Kent State at Northern Illinois · CBSSN

Air Force at Colorado State · FS1

Georgia at Georgia Tech · ABC

San Diego State at New Mexico · CBSSN

Temple at North Texas · ESPN

Boise State at Utah State · CBS

Indiana at Purdue · NBC

Kentucky at Louisville · ACC Network

Clemson at South Carolina · SEC Network

Houston at Baylor · TNT

Colorado at Kansas State · FS1

Iowa State at Oklahoma State · ESPNU

East Carolina at Florida Atlantic · ESPN+

Toledo at Central Michigan · ESPN+

Ball State at Miami (OH) · CBSSN

UTEP at Delaware · ESPN+

Florida International at Sam Houston · ESPN+

Georgia Southern at Marshall · ESPN+

Western Kentucky at Jacksonville State · ESPN+

Louisiana Tech at Missouri State · ESPN+

Georgia State at Old Dominion · ESPN+

Arkansas State at App State · ESPN+

Boston College at Syracuse · The CW Network

Middle Tennessee at New Mexico State · ESPN+

UL Monroe at Louisiana · ESPN+

South Alabama at Texas State · ESPN+

UAB at Tulsa · ESPN+

Missouri at Arkansas · SEC Network

Wisconsin at Minnesota · FS1

Penn State at Rutgers · BTN

Wake Forest at Duke · ACC Network

Cincinnati at TCU · FOX

Kennesaw State at Liberty · CBSSN

Troy at Southern Miss · ESPN+

Army at UTSA · ESPN+

James Madison at Coastal Carolina · ESPNU

Florida State at Florida · ESPN2

Oregon State at Washington State · The CW Network

Maryland at Michigan State · FS1

Rice at South Florida · ESPN+

UCLA at USC · NBC

Northwestern at Illinois · FOX

North Carolina at NC State · ACC Network

Charlotte at Tulane · ESPNU

SMU at California · ESPN2

UNLV at Nevada · CBSSN

Notre Dame at Stanford · ESPN

Fresno State at San José State · FS1

Wyoming at Hawai'i

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 14, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 14). How the model works.