๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

#12Utah Utes

8โ€“2 ยท 5โ€“2 BIG 12
In the books
WEEK 13 ยท 2025
The Week 13 recap

Utah beat Kansas State. Playoff odds moved from 43% to 28%.

Your game

Kansas State at Utah
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playoff chanceEntering43%Win48%Loss7%
Kansas State
Kansas State 11%Utah 89%
Utah
Final ยท Kansas State 47โ€“51 UtahWish granted โœ“

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Utah wanted
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Impact 1
BYU
at
Rooted for
Cincinnati
Final ยท BYU 26โ€“14 CincinnatiWent the other way โœ—
Projected 31.6-point title-game boost

BYU won instead, so Utah did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection33% if Cincinnati won1% with the other result32-point differenceUtah Big 12 title-game chance
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Impact 2
Rooted for
Missouri
at
Oklahoma
Final ยท Missouri 6โ€“17 OklahomaWent the other way โœ—
Projected 4.4-point playoff boost

Oklahoma won instead, so Utah did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection46% if Missouri won42% with the other result4.4-point differenceUtah playoff chance
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Impact 3
Rooted for
Kentucky
at
Vanderbilt
Final ยท Kentucky 17โ€“45 VanderbiltWent the other way โœ—
Projected 3.3-point playoff boost

Vanderbilt won instead, so Utah did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection46% if Kentucky won43% with the other result3.3-point differenceUtah playoff chance
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Impact 4
Miami
at
Rooted for
Virginia Tech
Final ยท Miami 34โ€“17 Virginia TechWent the other way โœ—
Projected 3.0-point playoff boost

Miami won instead, so Utah did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection46% if Virginia Tech won43% with the other result3-point differenceUtah playoff chance
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Impact 5
Rooted for
Kansas
at
Iowa State
Final ยท Kansas 14โ€“38 Iowa StateWent the other way โœ—
Projected 2.8-point playoff boost

Iowa State won instead, so Utah did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection45% if Kansas won42% with the other result2.8-point differenceUtah playoff chance
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Impact 6
Rooted for
Pittsburgh
at
Georgia Tech
Final ยท Pittsburgh 42โ€“28 Georgia TechWish granted โœ“
Projected 1.5-point playoff boost

Pittsburgh won, thinning out the at-large competition for Utah's playoff spot.

Entering-week projection44% if Pittsburgh won43% with the other result1.5-point differenceUtah playoff chance
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Impact 7
Rooted for
Louisville
at
SMU
Final ยท Louisville 6โ€“38 SMUWent the other way โœ—
Projected 1.3-point playoff boost

SMU won instead, so Utah did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection44% if Louisville won43% with the other result1.3-point differenceUtah playoff chance
52 other games had little impact
Arizona State at Colorado ยท ESPN2
Akron at Bowling Green ยท ESPNU
Massachusetts at Ohio ยท CBSSN
Western Michigan at Northern Illinois ยท ESPN2
Miami (OH) at Buffalo ยท ESPN2
Central Michigan at Kent State ยท ESPNU
Louisiana at Arkansas State ยท ESPN
Florida State at NC State ยท ESPN
Hawai'i at UNLV ยท FS1
Minnesota at Northwestern ยท BTN
Rutgers at Ohio State ยท FOX
Delaware at Wake Forest ยท ACC Network
Tulsa at Army ยท CBSSN
Charlotte at Georgia ยท SEC Network
Washington State at James Madison ยท ESPN+
Baylor at Arizona ยท TNT
Old Dominion at Georgia Southern ยท ESPN+
Missouri State at Kennesaw State ยท ESPN+
Nevada at Wyoming
Ball State at Toledo ยท ESPN+
Marshall at App State ยท ESPN+
UConn at Florida Atlantic ยท ESPN+
Liberty at Louisiana Tech ยท ESPN+
Sam Houston at Middle Tennessee ยท ESPN+
New Mexico State at UTEP ยท ESPN+
South Florida at UAB ยท ESPN+
Arkansas at Texas ยท ABC
USC at Oregon ยท CBS
Michigan State at Iowa ยท FS1
Duke at North Carolina ยท ACC Network
Syracuse at Notre Dame ยท NBC
Jacksonville State at Florida International ยท CBSSN
Southern Miss at South Alabama ยท ESPN+
East Carolina at UTSA ยท ESPN+
Tulane at Temple ยท ESPNU
Michigan at Maryland ยท BTN
TCU at Houston ยท FOX
Oklahoma State at UCF ยท ESPN+
Georgia State at Troy ยท ESPN+
Coastal Carolina at South Carolina ยท SEC Network
UL Monroe at Texas State ยท ESPN+
Nebraska at Penn State ยท NBC
New Mexico at Air Force ยท CBSSN
Colorado State at Boise State ยท FS1
Tennessee at Florida ยท ABC
Illinois at Wisconsin ยท BTN
California at Stanford ยท ACC Network
North Texas at Rice ยท ESPNU
Western Kentucky at LSU ยท SEC Network
Washington at UCLA ยท NBC
Utah State at Fresno State ยท CBSSN
San Josรฉ State at San Diego State ยท FS1
The rooting list was:Utah, then Cincinnati, Missouri, Kentucky, Virginia Tech, Kansas, Pittsburgh, Louisville.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 13, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 13). How the model works.