#19South Florida Bulls
5–1 · 2–0 AMERICAN ATHLETIC
In the books
WEEK 8 · 2025
51%
American title game
21%
Win the American
21%
Make the playoff
0%
First-round bye
avg seed 11.6
How the week went: playoff odds 21% → 34% · title-game odds 51% → 68%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves South Florida's pathYour game
…
… · ESPNU
Florida Atlantic at #19 South Florida
Your game. Beat Florida Atlantic and your playoff odds are 23%; lose and they drop to 9%.
Final · Florida Atlantic 13–48 South FloridaWish granted ✓
Just win
Big swingsthese move your odds the most
…
… · ESPN2
#22 Memphis at UAB
UAB visits your schedule in week 13 — keep them ranked.
Final · Memphis 24–31 UABWish granted ✓
Root for UAB+7.6 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPNU
Army at Tulane
American Athletic race: Tulane losing helps your spot in the standings.
Final · Army 17–24 TulaneWent the other way ✗
Root for Army+8.1 pp title-game odds
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ESPN+
UTSA at North Texas
American Athletic race: North Texas losing helps your spot in the standings; you already beat North Texas; them losing again keeps them behind you; UTSA visits your schedule in week 11 — keep them ranked.
Final · UTSA 17–55 North TexasWent the other way ✗
Root for UTSA+2.3 pp title-game odds
55 more games that don't move your needle
New Mexico State at Liberty · CBSSN
Arkansas State at South Alabama · ESPN2
Florida International at Western Kentucky · ESPNU
Delaware at Jacksonville State · ESPN2
UTEP at Sam Houston · CBSSN
Tulsa at East Carolina · ESPN
Louisville at Miami · ESPN
Nebraska at Minnesota · FOX
San José State at Utah State · CBSSN
North Carolina at California · ESPN
LSU at Vanderbilt · ABC
Washington at Michigan · FOX
Georgia Tech at Duke · ESPN
UConn at Boston College · ACC Network
Arizona at Houston · FS1
Baylor at TCU · ESPN2
Central Michigan at Bowling Green · CBSSN
Eastern Michigan at Miami (OH) · ESPN+
Oklahoma at South Carolina · SEC Network
West Virginia at UCF · TNT
Kent State at Toledo · ESPN+
Buffalo at Massachusetts · ESPN+
Purdue at Northwestern · BTN
Troy at UL Monroe · ESPN+
Texas A&M at Arkansas · ESPN
Ole Miss at Georgia · ABC
Ohio State at Wisconsin · CBS
Michigan State at Indiana · Peacock
SMU at Clemson · ACC Network
Wyoming at Air Force · CBSSN
UNLV at Boise State · FS1
Coastal Carolina at App State · ESPN+
Old Dominion at James Madison · ESPNU
Texas State at Marshall · ESPN+
Temple at Charlotte · ESPN+
Akron at Ball State · ESPN+
Northern Illinois at Ohio · ESPN+
Texas Tech at Arizona State · FOX
Mississippi State at Florida · SEC Network
Southern Miss at Louisiana · ESPN+
Oregon at Rutgers · BTN
Washington State at Virginia · The CW Network
Texas at Kentucky · ESPN
Penn State at Iowa · Peacock
Maryland at UCLA · FS1
Hawai'i at Colorado State
Georgia State at Georgia Southern · ESPN+
Tennessee at Alabama · ABC
USC at Notre Dame · NBC
Pittsburgh at Syracuse · ACC Network
Missouri at Auburn · SEC Network
Utah at BYU · FOX
Cincinnati at Oklahoma State · ESPN2
Nevada at New Mexico · FS1
Florida State at Stanford · ESPN
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 8, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 8).