#18South Florida Bulls
2–0 · 0–0 AMERICAN ATHLETIC
In the books
WEEK 3 · 2025
32%
American title game
14%
Win the American
11%
Make the playoff
0%
First-round bye
avg seed 11.6
How the week went: playoff odds 11% → <1% · title-game odds 32% → 5%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves South Florida's pathYour game
…
… · The CW Network
#18 South Florida at #5 Miami
Your game. Beat Miami and your playoff odds are 17%; lose and they drop to 10%.
Final · South Florida 12–49 MiamiWent the other way ✗
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ESPN+
Navy at Tulsa
American Athletic race: Navy losing helps your spot in the standings; you still play Navy in week 12.
Final · Navy 42–23 TulsaWent the other way ✗
Root for Tulsa+5.6 pp title-game odds
…
… · ESPNU
Memphis at Troy
American Athletic race: Memphis losing helps your spot in the standings; you still play Memphis in week 9.
Final · Memphis 28–7 TroyWent the other way ✗
Root for Troy+2.4 pp title-game odds
44 more games that don't move your needle
NC State at Wake Forest · ESPN
Colorado at Houston · ESPN
Kansas State at Arizona · FOX
New Mexico at UCLA · BTN
Wisconsin at Alabama · ABC
Oklahoma at Temple · ESPN2
Oregon at Northwestern · FOX
Central Michigan at Michigan · BTN
Clemson at Georgia Tech · ESPN
Buffalo at Kent State · CBSSN
South Alabama at Auburn · SEC Network
Louisiana at Missouri · ESPN+
UConn at Delaware · ESPN+
Georgia at Tennessee · ABC
USC at Purdue · CBS
Oregon State at Texas Tech · FOX
Washington State at North Texas · ESPNU
SMU at Missouri State · CBSSN
Pittsburgh at West Virginia · ESPN
Iowa State at Arkansas State · ESPN2
UTEP at Texas · SEC Network
Liberty at Bowling Green · ESPN+
Middle Tennessee at Nevada
Florida Atlantic at Florida International · ESPN+
Arkansas at Ole Miss · ESPN
Ohio at Ohio State · Peacock
Western Michigan at Illinois · FS1
Old Dominion at Virginia Tech · ACC Network
Jacksonville State at Georgia Southern · ESPN+
App State at Southern Miss · ESPN+
Eastern Michigan at Kentucky · ESPNU
Florida at LSU · ABC
Texas A&M at Notre Dame · NBC
Massachusetts at Iowa · BTN
New Mexico State at Louisiana Tech · ESPN+
East Carolina at Coastal Carolina · ESPN+
Vanderbilt at South Carolina · SEC Network
Duke at Tulane · ESPN2
Utah at Wyoming · CBSSN
Akron at UAB · ESPN+
Air Force at Utah State · FS1
Minnesota at California · ESPN
Boston College at Stanford · ACC Network
Texas State at Arizona State · TNT
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 3, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 3).