South Florida Bulls
6–2 · 3–1 AMERICAN ATHLETIC
In the books
WEEK 11 · 2025
31%
American title game
15%
Win the American
8%
Make the playoff
0%
First-round bye
avg seed 11.8
How the week went: playoff odds 8% → 43% · title-game odds 31% → 76%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves South Florida's pathYour game
…
… · ESPN
UTSA at South Florida
Your game. Beat UTSA and your playoff odds are 11%; lose and they drop to <1%.
Final · UTSA 23–55 South FloridaWish granted ✓
Just win
Big swingsthese move your odds the most
…
… · ESPN
Tulane at Memphis
American Athletic race: Memphis losing helps your spot in the standings; Memphis losing softens the sting of your loss to them.
Final · Tulane 38–32 MemphisWish granted ✓
Root for Tulane+16.4 pp title-game odds
…
… · ESPN2
James Madison at Marshall
Marshall winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · James Madison 35–23 MarshallWent the other way ✗
Root for Marshall+8.7 pp playoff odds
48 more games that don't move your needle
Massachusetts at Akron · CBSSN
Miami (OH) at Ohio · ESPN2
Kent State at Ball State · ESPNU
Northern Illinois at Toledo · ESPN2
Georgia Southern at App State · ESPN2
Houston at UCF · FS1
Northwestern at USC · FOX
Georgia at Mississippi State · ESPN
Indiana at Penn State · FOX
SMU at Boston College · ACC Network
BYU at Texas Tech · ABC
Colorado at West Virginia · TNT
Southern Miss at Arkansas State · ESPNU
Temple at Army · CBSSN
Ohio State at Purdue · BTN
Missouri State at Liberty · ESPN+
Bowling Green at Eastern Michigan · ESPN+
UAB at Rice · ESPN+
Maryland at Rutgers · FS1
Louisiana Tech at Delaware · ESPN+
Florida International at Middle Tennessee · ESPN+
Jacksonville State at UTEP · ESPN+
Charlotte at East Carolina · ESPN+
Tulsa at Florida Atlantic · ESPN+
Texas A&M at Missouri · ABC
Oregon at Iowa · CBS
Syracuse at Miami · ESPN
Duke at UConn · CBSSN
Kansas at Arizona · ESPN2
Iowa State at TCU · FOX
Auburn at Vanderbilt · SEC Network
Kennesaw State at New Mexico State · ESPN+
Georgia State at Coastal Carolina · ESPN+
Washington at Wisconsin · BTN
Stanford at North Carolina · The CW Network
Texas State at Louisiana · ESPN+
Air Force at San José State · FS1
California at Louisville · ESPN2
Florida State at Clemson · ACC Network
Wake Forest at Virginia · ESPN
LSU at Alabama · ABC
Florida at Kentucky · SEC Network
Navy at Notre Dame · NBC
Nevada at Utah State · CBSSN
Nebraska at UCLA · FOX
UNLV at Colorado State · FS1
Sam Houston at Oregon State · The CW Network
San Diego State at Hawai'i
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 11, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 11).