๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

Boise State Broncos

4โ€“2 ยท 2โ€“0 PAC-12
In the books
WEEK 8 ยท 2025
The Week 8 recap

Boise State beat UNLV. Playoff odds moved from 17% to 29%.

Your game

UNLV at Boise State
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Pac-12 title-game chanceEntering77%Win89%Loss53%
UNLV
UNLV 33%Boise State 67%
Boise State
Final ยท UNLV 31โ€“56 Boise StateWish granted โœ“

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Boise State wanted
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Impact 1
Memphis
at
Rooted for
UAB
Final ยท Memphis 24โ€“31 UABWish granted โœ“
Projected 3.0-point playoff boost

UAB won, thinning out the at-large competition for Boise State's playoff spot.

Entering-week projection20% if UAB won17% with the other result3-point differenceBoise State playoff chance
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Impact 2
Rooted for
Old Dominion
at
James Madison
Final ยท Old Dominion 27โ€“63 James MadisonWent the other way โœ—
Projected 1.2-point playoff boost

James Madison won instead, so Boise State did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection18% if Old Dominion won17% with the other result1.2-point differenceBoise State playoff chance
56 other games had little impact
San Josรฉ State at Utah State ยท CBSSN
New Mexico State at Liberty ยท CBSSN
Arkansas State at South Alabama ยท ESPN2
Florida International at Western Kentucky ยท ESPNU
Delaware at Jacksonville State ยท ESPN2
UTEP at Sam Houston ยท CBSSN
Tulsa at East Carolina ยท ESPN
Louisville at Miami ยท ESPN
Nebraska at Minnesota ยท FOX
North Carolina at California ยท ESPN
LSU at Vanderbilt ยท ABC
Washington at Michigan ยท FOX
Georgia Tech at Duke ยท ESPN
UConn at Boston College ยท ACC Network
Arizona at Houston ยท FS1
Baylor at TCU ยท ESPN2
Army at Tulane ยท ESPNU
Central Michigan at Bowling Green ยท CBSSN
Eastern Michigan at Miami (OH) ยท ESPN+
Oklahoma at South Carolina ยท SEC Network
West Virginia at UCF ยท TNT
Kent State at Toledo ยท ESPN+
Buffalo at Massachusetts ยท ESPN+
Purdue at Northwestern ยท BTN
Troy at UL Monroe ยท ESPN+
Texas A&M at Arkansas ยท ESPN
Ole Miss at Georgia ยท ABC
Ohio State at Wisconsin ยท CBS
Michigan State at Indiana ยท Peacock
SMU at Clemson ยท ACC Network
Wyoming at Air Force ยท CBSSN
Coastal Carolina at App State ยท ESPN+
Texas State at Marshall ยท ESPN+
Temple at Charlotte ยท ESPN+
UTSA at North Texas ยท ESPN+
Akron at Ball State ยท ESPN+
Northern Illinois at Ohio ยท ESPN+
Texas Tech at Arizona State ยท FOX
Mississippi State at Florida ยท SEC Network
Southern Miss at Louisiana ยท ESPN+
Oregon at Rutgers ยท BTN
Washington State at Virginia ยท The CW Network
Texas at Kentucky ยท ESPN
Penn State at Iowa ยท Peacock
Maryland at UCLA ยท FS1
Hawai'i at Colorado State
Georgia State at Georgia Southern ยท ESPN+
Tennessee at Alabama ยท ABC
USC at Notre Dame ยท NBC
Pittsburgh at Syracuse ยท ACC Network
Florida Atlantic at South Florida ยท ESPNU
Missouri at Auburn ยท SEC Network
Utah at BYU ยท FOX
Cincinnati at Oklahoma State ยท ESPN2
Nevada at New Mexico ยท FS1
Florida State at Stanford ยท ESPN
The rooting list was:Boise State, then UAB, Old Dominion.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 8, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 8). How the model works.