๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

Boise State Broncos

6โ€“4 ยท 4โ€“2 PAC-12
In the books
WEEK 13 ยท 2025
The Week 13 recap

Boise State beat Colorado State. Playoff odds moved from 3% to 4%.

Your game

Colorado State at Boise State
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Pac-12 title-game chanceEntering44%Win48%Loss2%
Colorado State
Colorado State 8%Boise State 92%
Boise State
Final ยท Colorado State 21โ€“49 Boise StateWish granted โœ“

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Boise State wanted
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Impact 1
Rooted for
Utah State
at
Fresno State
Final ยท Utah State 28โ€“17 Fresno StateWish granted โœ“
Projected 1.8-point playoff boost

Fresno State lost, softening the damage from Boise State's loss to them.

Entering-week projection4% if Utah State won2% with the other result1.8-point differenceBoise State playoff chance
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Impact 2
Rooted for
Washington State
at
James Madison
Final ยท Washington State 20โ€“24 James MadisonWent the other way โœ—
Projected 1.6-point playoff boost

James Madison won instead, so Boise State did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection4% if Washington State won2% with the other result1.6-point differenceBoise State playoff chance
57 other games had little impact
Akron at Bowling Green ยท ESPNU
Massachusetts at Ohio ยท CBSSN
Western Michigan at Northern Illinois ยท ESPN2
Miami (OH) at Buffalo ยท ESPN2
Central Michigan at Kent State ยท ESPNU
Louisiana at Arkansas State ยท ESPN
Florida State at NC State ยท ESPN
Hawai'i at UNLV ยท FS1
Missouri at Oklahoma ยท ABC
Minnesota at Northwestern ยท BTN
Rutgers at Ohio State ยท FOX
Louisville at SMU ยท ESPN2
Miami at Virginia Tech ยท ESPN
Delaware at Wake Forest ยท ACC Network
Kansas at Iowa State ยท FS1
Tulsa at Army ยท CBSSN
Charlotte at Georgia ยท SEC Network
Baylor at Arizona ยท TNT
Old Dominion at Georgia Southern ยท ESPN+
Missouri State at Kennesaw State ยท ESPN+
Nevada at Wyoming
Ball State at Toledo ยท ESPN+
Marshall at App State ยท ESPN+
UConn at Florida Atlantic ยท ESPN+
Liberty at Louisiana Tech ยท ESPN+
Sam Houston at Middle Tennessee ยท ESPN+
New Mexico State at UTEP ยท ESPN+
South Florida at UAB ยท ESPN+
Arkansas at Texas ยท ABC
Kentucky at Vanderbilt ยท ESPN
USC at Oregon ยท CBS
Michigan State at Iowa ยท FS1
Duke at North Carolina ยท ACC Network
Syracuse at Notre Dame ยท NBC
Jacksonville State at Florida International ยท CBSSN
Southern Miss at South Alabama ยท ESPN+
East Carolina at UTSA ยท ESPN+
Tulane at Temple ยท ESPNU
Michigan at Maryland ยท BTN
TCU at Houston ยท FOX
Oklahoma State at UCF ยท ESPN+
Kansas State at Utah ยท ESPN2
Georgia State at Troy ยท ESPN+
Coastal Carolina at South Carolina ยท SEC Network
UL Monroe at Texas State ยท ESPN+
Nebraska at Penn State ยท NBC
Pittsburgh at Georgia Tech ยท ESPN
New Mexico at Air Force ยท CBSSN
Tennessee at Florida ยท ABC
Illinois at Wisconsin ยท BTN
California at Stanford ยท ACC Network
North Texas at Rice ยท ESPNU
Western Kentucky at LSU ยท SEC Network
BYU at Cincinnati ยท FOX
Arizona State at Colorado ยท ESPN2
Washington at UCLA ยท NBC
San Josรฉ State at San Diego State ยท FS1
The rooting list was:Boise State, then Utah State, Washington State.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 13, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 13). How the model works.