Utah Utes

0–0 · 0–0 BIG 12

Way too early

WEEK 6 · 2026

58%

Big 12 title game

24%

Win the Big 12

62%

Make the playoff

<1%

First-round bye

avg seed 8.6

Way-too-early read: ratings carry last season forward — the portal will have opinions. The week-6 job: beat Kansas.

Playoff odds by week

1 2 3 4 5 6

If Utah wins out: 45% to win the Big 12, >99% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Utah's path

Your game

TBD

SAT OCT 10

Kansas at Utah

Your game. Beat Kansas and your playoff odds are 65%; lose and they drop to 32%.

Utah 91%

Worth a glancesmaller, but real

TBD

SAT OCT 10

Iowa at Washington

Washington winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Iowa 55%

TBD

SAT OCT 10

Georgia at Alabama

Georgia winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Georgia 58%

TBD

SAT OCT 10

Houston at Kansas State

Big 12 race: Kansas State losing helps your spot in the standings; Houston visits your schedule in week 8 — keep them ranked.

Kansas State 77%

TBD

SAT OCT 10

Texas at Oklahoma

Oklahoma winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Texas 58%

TBD

SAT OCT 10

Arizona at West Virginia

Big 12 race: Arizona losing helps your spot in the standings; West Virginia visits your schedule in week 13 — keep them ranked.

Arizona 81%

TBD

SAT OCT 10

USC at Penn State

USC winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Penn State 66%

49 more games that don't move your needle

Southern Miss at Troy

Jacksonville State at Kennesaw State

New Mexico State at Florida International

South Florida at UTSA

South Alabama at Arkansas State

Sam Houston at Liberty

Missouri State at Western Kentucky

Florida State at Louisville

Washington State at Utah State

Tennessee at Arkansas

South Carolina at Florida

LSU at Kentucky

Texas A&M at Missouri

Ole Miss at Vanderbilt

Hawai'i at Arizona State

UCF at Oklahoma State

Iowa State at BYU

Duke at Georgia Tech

North Carolina at Pittsburgh

Syracuse at Virginia

Virginia Tech at California

Wake Forest at NC State

Illinois at Michigan State

Indiana at Nebraska

Ball State at Northwestern

Maryland at Ohio State

UCLA at Oregon

Minnesota at Purdue

Boise State at Fresno State

San Diego State at Oregon State

UConn at Temple

Tulane at Army

Charlotte at North Texas

Rice at East Carolina

UAB at Memphis

Tulsa at Navy

Air Force at Northern Illinois

Nevada at UTEP

Wyoming at San José State

Eastern Michigan at Akron

Buffalo at Toledo

Central Michigan at Ohio

Kent State at Western Michigan

Miami (OH) at Massachusetts

Old Dominion at App State

Coastal Carolina at Marshall

James Madison at Georgia Southern

Louisiana at Louisiana Tech

Stanford at Notre Dame

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 6, with last season's ratings carried forward — way too early, enjoy responsibly.