Utah Utes

0–0 · 0–0 BIG 12

Way too early

WEEK 3 · 2026

58%

Big 12 title game

24%

Win the Big 12

62%

Make the playoff

<1%

First-round bye

avg seed 8.6

Way-too-early read: ratings carry last season forward — the portal will have opinions. The week-3 job: beat Utah State.

Playoff odds by week

1 2 3

If Utah wins out: 45% to win the Big 12, >99% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Utah's path

Your game

TBD

SAT SEP 19

Utah State at Utah

Your game. Beat Utah State and your playoff odds are 64%; lose and they drop to 35%.

Utah 93%

Worth a glancesmaller, but real

TBD

SAT SEP 19

Houston at Texas Tech

Big 12 race: Texas Tech losing helps your spot in the standings; Houston visits your schedule in week 8 — keep them ranked.

Texas Tech 96%

TBD

SAT SEP 19

Florida State at Alabama

Florida State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Alabama 88%

…

… · ABC

LSU at Ole Miss

LSU winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Ole Miss 83%

TBD

SAT SEP 19

UTSA at Texas

UTSA winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Texas 86%

TBD

SAT SEP 19

USC at Rutgers

Rutgers winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

USC 82%

TBD

FRI SEP 18

Miami at Wake Forest

Wake Forest winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Miami 85%

TBD

SAT SEP 19

Bowling Green at Iowa State

Big 12 race: Iowa State losing helps your spot in the standings; you still play Iowa State in week 4.

Iowa State 89%

TBD

SAT SEP 19

Purdue at UCLA

UCLA winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

UCLA 69%

47 more games that don't move your needle

Kansas at Arizona State

Syracuse at Pittsburgh

Georgia at Arkansas

Florida at Auburn

Troy at Missouri

New Mexico at Oklahoma

Mississippi State at South Carolina

Kennesaw State at Tennessee

Kentucky at Texas A&M

NC State at Vanderbilt

Tulane at Kansas State

Northern Illinois at Arizona

BYU at Colorado State

Colorado at Northwestern

Miami (OH) at Cincinnati

Arkansas State at TCU

Georgia State at UCF

Virginia at West Virginia

North Carolina at Clemson

SMU at Louisville

Stanford at Duke

Virginia Tech at Maryland

Western Kentucky at Indiana

UTEP at Michigan

Akron at Minnesota

Kent State at Ohio State

Buffalo at Penn State

Eastern Michigan at Wisconsin

James Madison at San Diego State

Fresno State at San José State

North Texas at Texas State

UConn at Southern Miss

East Carolina at Old Dominion

Florida International at Florida Atlantic

Western Michigan at Rice

Temple at Toledo

UAB at Louisiana

Nevada at Middle Tennessee

Wyoming at Central Michigan

Charlotte at App State

Ball State at Liberty

Ohio at South Alabama

Louisiana Tech at Baylor

Coastal Carolina at Delaware

Georgia Southern at Jacksonville State

Marshall at Missouri State

Michigan State at Notre Dame

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 3, with last season's ratings carried forward — way too early, enjoy responsibly.