Utah Utes

0–0 · 0–0 BIG 12

Way too early

WEEK 5 · 2026

58%

Big 12 title game

24%

Win the Big 12

62%

Make the playoff

<1%

First-round bye

avg seed 8.6

Way-too-early read: bye week — pure scoreboard-watching, whenever it arrives.

Playoff odds by week

1 2 3 4 5

If Utah wins out: 45% to win the Big 12, >99% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Utah's path

Worth a glancesmaller, but real

TBD

SAT OCT 3

Texas Tech at Colorado

Big 12 race: Texas Tech losing helps your spot in the standings; Colorado visits your schedule in week 7 — keep them ranked.

Texas Tech 96%

TBD

SAT OCT 3

Ohio State at Iowa

Ohio State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Ohio State 67%

TBD

FRI OCT 2

Penn State at Northwestern

Northwestern winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Penn State 83%

TBD

SAT OCT 3

Vanderbilt at Georgia

Georgia winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Georgia 77%

TBD

SAT OCT 3

West Virginia at Iowa State

Big 12 race: Iowa State losing helps your spot in the standings; West Virginia visits your schedule in week 13 — keep them ranked.

Iowa State 87%

TBD

SAT OCT 3

BYU at TCU

Big 12 race: BYU losing helps your spot in the standings; TCU visits your schedule in week 12 — keep them ranked.

BYU 52%

TBD

SAT OCT 3

Utah State at Boise State

Boise State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Boise State 78%

TBD

SAT OCT 3

Cincinnati at Arizona

Big 12 race: Arizona losing helps your spot in the standings; Cincinnati visits your schedule in week 9 — keep them ranked.

Arizona 76%

47 more games that don't move your needle

North Texas at Tulsa

Western Kentucky at New Mexico State

Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech

Liberty at Delaware

Alabama at Mississippi State

Florida at Missouri

Kentucky at South Carolina

Auburn at Tennessee

Arkansas at Texas A&M

Middle Tennessee at Kansas

Baylor at Arizona State

UCF at Houston

Boston College at SMU

California at UNLV

Louisville at NC State

Miami at Clemson

Notre Dame at North Carolina

Stanford at Wake Forest

Syracuse at UConn

Virginia at Florida State

Purdue at Illinois

Michigan at Minnesota

Maryland at Nebraska

Indiana at Rutgers

Washington at USC

Michigan State at Wisconsin

Oregon State at Colorado State

Texas State at San Diego State

Fresno State at Washington State

Memphis at Charlotte

UTSA at Rice

Navy at Air Force

Temple at South Florida

San José State at Hawai'i

UTEP at New Mexico

Akron at Central Michigan

Toledo at Ball State

Western Michigan at Buffalo

Eastern Michigan at Massachusetts

Ohio at Kent State

Bowling Green at Miami (OH)

Army at Louisiana Tech

Arkansas State at Louisiana

Georgia Southern at Coastal Carolina

Old Dominion at Georgia State

Marshall at James Madison

UL Monroe at South Alabama

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 5, with last season's ratings carried forward — way too early, enjoy responsibly.