Utah Utes

0–0 · 0–0 BIG 12

Way too early

WEEK 12 · 2026

58%

Big 12 title game

24%

Win the Big 12

62%

Make the playoff

<1%

First-round bye

avg seed 8.6

Way-too-early read: ratings carry last season forward — the portal will have opinions. The week-12 job: beat TCU.

Playoff odds by week

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

If Utah wins out: 45% to win the Big 12, >99% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Utah's path

Your game

TBD

SAT NOV 21

Utah at TCU

Your game. Beat TCU and your playoff odds are 73%; lose and they drop to 35%.

Utah 73%

Worth a glancesmaller, but real

TBD

SAT NOV 21

Rutgers at Penn State

Rutgers winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Penn State 93%

TBD

SAT NOV 21

Iowa at Illinois

Illinois winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Iowa 77%

TBD

SAT NOV 21

Virginia Tech at Miami

Virginia Tech winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Miami 96%

TBD

SAT NOV 21

BYU at Kansas

Big 12 race: BYU losing helps your spot in the standings.

BYU 66%

TBD

SAT NOV 21

Texas Tech at Baylor

Big 12 race: Texas Tech losing helps your spot in the standings.

Texas Tech 91%

TBD

SAT NOV 21

Texas A&M at Oklahoma

Oklahoma winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Oklahoma 53%

TBD

SAT NOV 21

Vanderbilt at Florida

Florida winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Vanderbilt 72%

TBD

SAT NOV 21

Arkansas at Texas

Arkansas winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Texas 86%

TBD

SAT NOV 21

Georgia at South Carolina

Georgia winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Georgia 78%

TBD

SAT NOV 21

Iowa State at UCF

UCF winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Iowa State 61%

TBD

SAT NOV 21

Arizona at Kansas State

Kansas State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Kansas State 57%

TBD

SAT NOV 21

LSU at Tennessee

LSU winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Tennessee 70%

52 more games that don't move your needle

Ball State at Ohio

Eastern Michigan at Western Michigan

Miami (OH) at Kent State

Akron at Massachusetts

Bowling Green at Toledo

Central Michigan at Buffalo

Rice at Temple

Arkansas State at Louisiana Tech

Clemson at Duke

Oregon at Michigan State

Kentucky at Missouri

Colorado at Cincinnati

Houston at West Virginia

Oklahoma State at Arizona State

NC State at Florida State

North Carolina at Virginia

Pittsburgh at Louisville

Stanford at California

Syracuse at Boston College

Wake Forest at Georgia Tech

UCLA at Michigan

Northwestern at Minnesota

Ohio State at Nebraska

Wisconsin at Purdue

Maryland at USC

Indiana at Washington

Colorado State at Fresno State

Utah State at Oregon State

Washington State at Texas State

San Diego State at Boise State

Old Dominion at UConn

East Carolina at Army

Charlotte at Tulsa

South Florida at Florida Atlantic

Memphis at Navy

North Texas at Tulane

UTSA at UAB

Hawai'i at Nevada

New Mexico at Wyoming

UNLV at San José State

UTEP at Air Force

UL Monroe at App State

Coastal Carolina at Louisiana

Georgia Southern at Troy

Georgia State at Marshall

Delaware at New Mexico State

Florida International at Kennesaw State

Missouri State at Jacksonville State

Western Kentucky at Liberty

Middle Tennessee at Sam Houston

South Alabama at Southern Miss

SMU at Notre Dame

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 12, with last season's ratings carried forward — way too early, enjoy responsibly.