Utah Utes

0–0 · 0–0 BIG 12

Way too early

WEEK 11 · 2026

58%

Big 12 title game

24%

Win the Big 12

62%

Make the playoff

<1%

First-round bye

avg seed 8.6

Way-too-early read: ratings carry last season forward — the portal will have opinions. The week-11 job: beat Arizona.

Playoff odds by week

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

If Utah wins out: 45% to win the Big 12, >99% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Utah's path

Your game

TBD

SAT NOV 14

Utah at Arizona

Your game. Beat Arizona and your playoff odds are 73%; lose and they drop to 37%.

Utah 70%

Worth a glancesmaller, but real

TBD

SAT NOV 14

Minnesota at Penn State

Minnesota winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Penn State 91%

TBD

SAT NOV 14

Texas Tech at Oklahoma State

Big 12 race: Texas Tech losing helps your spot in the standings.

Texas Tech 99%

TBD

SAT NOV 14

USC at Indiana

Indiana winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Indiana 85%

TBD

SAT NOV 14

Ole Miss at Oklahoma

Oklahoma winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Ole Miss 56%

TBD

SAT NOV 14

Texas at LSU

LSU winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Texas 63%

TBD

SAT NOV 14

Kansas State at TCU

Big 12 race: Kansas State losing helps your spot in the standings; TCU visits your schedule in week 12 — keep them ranked.

TCU 57%

TBD

SAT NOV 14

Wake Forest at SMU

Wake Forest winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

SMU 87%

TBD

SAT NOV 14

Kansas at West Virginia

West Virginia visits your schedule in week 13 — keep them ranked.

Kansas 66%

TBD

SAT NOV 14

Alabama at Vanderbilt

Vanderbilt winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Vanderbilt 56%

TBD

SAT NOV 14

Baylor at BYU

Big 12 race: BYU losing helps your spot in the standings.

BYU 81%

TBD

SAT NOV 14

Tennessee at Texas A&M

Tennessee winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Texas A&M 67%

53 more games that don't move your needle

Arizona State at UCF

Western Michigan at Akron

Kent State at Bowling Green

Ohio at Miami (OH)

Buffalo at Ball State

Massachusetts at Toledo

Memphis at South Florida

Louisiana at UL Monroe

Florida State at Pittsburgh

Cincinnati at Iowa State

Houston at Colorado

South Carolina at Arkansas

Missouri at Georgia

Florida at Kentucky

Auburn at Mississippi State

California at Virginia

Duke at Miami

Georgia Tech at Clemson

Louisville at North Carolina

Stanford at Virginia Tech

Syracuse at NC State

Purdue at Iowa

Wisconsin at Maryland

Washington at Michigan State

Northwestern at Ohio State

Michigan at Oregon

Nebraska at Rutgers

Illinois at UCLA

Oregon State at Boise State

Utah State at San Diego State

Fresno State at Texas State

Colorado State at Washington State

James Madison at UConn

East Carolina at Charlotte

Florida Atlantic at Tulsa

North Texas at UTSA

Tulane at Rice

UAB at Temple

Nevada at Northern Illinois

San José State at Air Force

UNLV at New Mexico

Wyoming at UTEP

App State at Marshall

Arkansas State at Coastal Carolina

Georgia Southern at Georgia State

Jacksonville State at Western Kentucky

Kennesaw State at Sam Houston

New Mexico State at Missouri State

Florida International at Delaware

Middle Tennessee at Liberty

Southern Miss at Louisiana Tech

Troy at South Alabama

Boston College at Notre Dame

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 11, with last season's ratings carried forward — way too early, enjoy responsibly.