๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

#10Vanderbilt Commodores

6โ€“1 ยท 2โ€“1 SEC
In the books
WEEK 9 ยท 2025
The Week 9 recap

Vanderbilt beat Missouri. Playoff odds moved from 32% to 37%.

Your game

Missouri at Vanderbilt
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playoff chanceEntering32%Win44%Loss18%
Missouri
Missouri 44%Vanderbilt 56%
Vanderbilt
Final ยท Missouri 10โ€“17 VanderbiltWish granted โœ“

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Vanderbilt wanted
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Impact 1
Rooted for
Auburn
at
Arkansas
Final ยท Auburn 33โ€“24 ArkansasWish granted โœ“
Projected 2.8-point playoff boost

Auburn won and stayed ranked ahead of its Week 11 game against Vanderbilt.

Entering-week projection34% if Auburn won31% with the other result2.8-point differenceVanderbilt playoff chance
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Impact 2
Middle Tennessee
at
Rooted for
Delaware
Final ยท Middle Tennessee 28โ€“31 DelawareWish granted โœ“
Projected 1.7-point playoff boost

Delaware won, thinning out the at-large competition for Vanderbilt's playoff spot.

Entering-week projection32% if Delaware won31% with the other result1.7-point differenceVanderbilt playoff chance
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Impact 3
Rooted for
Syracuse
at
Georgia Tech
Final ยท Syracuse 16โ€“41 Georgia TechWent the other way โœ—
Projected 1.7-point playoff boost

Georgia Tech won instead, so Vanderbilt did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection34% if Syracuse won32% with the other result1.7-point differenceVanderbilt playoff chance
49 other games had little impact
Alabama at South Carolina ยท ABC
Kennesaw State at Florida International ยท ESPNU
Western Kentucky at Louisiana Tech ยท CBSSN
Missouri State at New Mexico State ยท CBSSN
South Alabama at Georgia State ยท ESPN2
North Texas at Charlotte ยท ESPN2
California at Virginia Tech ยท ESPN
Boise State at Nevada ยท CBSSN
Ole Miss at Oklahoma ยท ABC
Northwestern at Nebraska ยท FS1
Rutgers at Purdue ยท BTN
UCLA at Indiana ยท FOX
SMU at Wake Forest ยท The CW Network
Virginia at North Carolina ยท ACC Network
Kansas State at Kansas ยท TNT
App State at Old Dominion ยท ESPNU
South Florida at Memphis ยท ESPN2
Bowling Green at Kent State ยท ESPN+
Ohio at Eastern Michigan ยท CBSSN
Akron at Buffalo ยท ESPN+
UConn at Rice ยท ESPN+
Utah State at New Mexico
Illinois at Washington ยท BTN
Minnesota at Iowa ยท CBS
Toledo at Washington State ยท The CW Network
NC State at Pittsburgh ยท ACC Network
BYU at Iowa State ยท FOX
San Diego State at Fresno State ยท FS1
UL Monroe at Southern Miss ยท ESPN+
Florida Atlantic at Navy ยท CBSSN
Temple at Tulsa ยท ESPN+
Ball State at Northern Illinois ยท ESPN+
Massachusetts at Central Michigan ยท ESPN+
Western Michigan at Miami (OH) ยท ESPN+
Baylor at Cincinnati ยท ESPN2
Oklahoma State at Texas Tech ยท ESPNU
Texas at Mississippi State ยท SEC Network
TCU at West Virginia ยท ESPN+
Wisconsin at Oregon ยท FS1
Stanford at Miami ยท ESPN
Georgia Southern at Arkansas State ยท ESPN+
Louisiana at Troy ยท ESPN+
Texas A&M at LSU ยท ABC
Michigan at Michigan State ยท NBC
Boston College at Louisville ยท ACC Network
Colorado State at Wyoming ยท CBSSN
Tennessee at Kentucky ยท SEC Network
Houston at Arizona State ยท ESPN2
Colorado at Utah ยท ESPN
The rooting list was:Vanderbilt, then Auburn, Delaware, Syracuse.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 9, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 9). How the model works.