๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

#13Oklahoma Sooners

6โ€“1 ยท 2โ€“1 SEC
In the books
WEEK 9 ยท 2025
The Week 9 recap

Oklahoma lost to Ole Miss. Playoff odds moved from 18% to 9%.

Your game

Ole Miss at Oklahoma
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playoff chanceEntering18%Win30%Loss11%
Ole Miss
Ole Miss 63%Oklahoma 37%
Oklahoma
Final ยท Ole Miss 34โ€“26 OklahomaWent the other way โœ—

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Oklahoma wanted
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Impact 1
Rooted for
Missouri
at
Vanderbilt
Final ยท Missouri 10โ€“17 VanderbiltWent the other way โœ—
Projected 2.4-point playoff boost

Vanderbilt won instead, so Oklahoma did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection19% if Missouri won17% with the other result2.4-point differenceOklahoma playoff chance
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Impact 2
Texas A&M
at
Rooted for
LSU
Final ยท Texas A&M 49โ€“25 LSUWent the other way โœ—
Projected 2.3-point playoff boost

Texas A&M won instead, so Oklahoma did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection19% if LSU won17% with the other result2.3-point differenceOklahoma playoff chance
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Impact 3
Rooted for
Alabama
at
South Carolina
Final ยท Alabama 29โ€“22 South CarolinaWish granted โœ“
Projected 1.5-point playoff boost

South Carolina lost again, helping keep them behind Oklahoma.

Entering-week projection18% if Alabama won17% with the other result1.5-point differenceOklahoma playoff chance
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Impact 4
Rooted for
Tennessee
at
Kentucky
Final ยท Tennessee 56โ€“34 KentuckyWish granted โœ“
Projected 1.4-point playoff boost

Tennessee won and stayed ranked ahead of its Week 10 game against Oklahoma.

Entering-week projection18% if Tennessee won17% with the other result1.4-point differenceOklahoma playoff chance
48 other games had little impact
Kennesaw State at Florida International ยท ESPNU
Western Kentucky at Louisiana Tech ยท CBSSN
Middle Tennessee at Delaware ยท ESPN2
Missouri State at New Mexico State ยท CBSSN
South Alabama at Georgia State ยท ESPN2
North Texas at Charlotte ยท ESPN2
California at Virginia Tech ยท ESPN
Boise State at Nevada ยท CBSSN
Northwestern at Nebraska ยท FS1
Rutgers at Purdue ยท BTN
UCLA at Indiana ยท FOX
SMU at Wake Forest ยท The CW Network
Syracuse at Georgia Tech ยท ESPN
Virginia at North Carolina ยท ACC Network
Kansas State at Kansas ยท TNT
App State at Old Dominion ยท ESPNU
South Florida at Memphis ยท ESPN2
Bowling Green at Kent State ยท ESPN+
Ohio at Eastern Michigan ยท CBSSN
Auburn at Arkansas ยท SEC Network
Akron at Buffalo ยท ESPN+
UConn at Rice ยท ESPN+
Utah State at New Mexico
Illinois at Washington ยท BTN
Minnesota at Iowa ยท CBS
Toledo at Washington State ยท The CW Network
NC State at Pittsburgh ยท ACC Network
BYU at Iowa State ยท FOX
San Diego State at Fresno State ยท FS1
UL Monroe at Southern Miss ยท ESPN+
Florida Atlantic at Navy ยท CBSSN
Temple at Tulsa ยท ESPN+
Ball State at Northern Illinois ยท ESPN+
Massachusetts at Central Michigan ยท ESPN+
Western Michigan at Miami (OH) ยท ESPN+
Baylor at Cincinnati ยท ESPN2
Oklahoma State at Texas Tech ยท ESPNU
Texas at Mississippi State ยท SEC Network
TCU at West Virginia ยท ESPN+
Wisconsin at Oregon ยท FS1
Stanford at Miami ยท ESPN
Georgia Southern at Arkansas State ยท ESPN+
Louisiana at Troy ยท ESPN+
Michigan at Michigan State ยท NBC
Boston College at Louisville ยท ACC Network
Colorado State at Wyoming ยท CBSSN
Houston at Arizona State ยท ESPN2
Colorado at Utah ยท ESPN
The rooting list was:Oklahoma, then Missouri, LSU, Alabama, Tennessee.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 9, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 9). How the model works.