๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

Missouri State Bears

3โ€“3 ยท 1โ€“1 CONFERENCE USA
In the books
WEEK 9 ยท 2025
The Week 9 recap

Missouri State beat New Mexico State. Playoff odds moved from <1% to <1%.

Your game

Missouri State at New Mexico State
โ€ฆ
โ€ฆ
CUSA title-game chanceEntering8%Win13%Loss3%
Missouri State
Missouri State 52%New Mexico State 48%
New Mexico State
Final ยท Missouri State 24โ€“17 New Mexico StateWish granted โœ“

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Missouri State wanted
โ€ฆ
โ€ฆ
Impact 1
Rooted for
Middle Tennessee
at
Delaware
Final ยท Middle Tennessee 28โ€“31 DelawareWent the other way โœ—
Projected 2.3-point title-game boost

Delaware won instead, so Missouri State did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection10% if Middle Tennessee won8% with the other result2.3-point differenceMissouri State CUSA title-game chance
51 other games had little impact
Western Kentucky at Louisiana Tech ยท CBSSN
Kennesaw State at Florida International ยท ESPNU
South Alabama at Georgia State ยท ESPN2
North Texas at Charlotte ยท ESPN2
California at Virginia Tech ยท ESPN
Boise State at Nevada ยท CBSSN
Ole Miss at Oklahoma ยท ABC
Northwestern at Nebraska ยท FS1
Rutgers at Purdue ยท BTN
UCLA at Indiana ยท FOX
SMU at Wake Forest ยท The CW Network
Syracuse at Georgia Tech ยท ESPN
Virginia at North Carolina ยท ACC Network
Kansas State at Kansas ยท TNT
App State at Old Dominion ยท ESPNU
South Florida at Memphis ยท ESPN2
Bowling Green at Kent State ยท ESPN+
Ohio at Eastern Michigan ยท CBSSN
Auburn at Arkansas ยท SEC Network
Akron at Buffalo ยท ESPN+
UConn at Rice ยท ESPN+
Utah State at New Mexico
Alabama at South Carolina ยท ABC
Missouri at Vanderbilt ยท ESPN
Illinois at Washington ยท BTN
Minnesota at Iowa ยท CBS
Toledo at Washington State ยท The CW Network
NC State at Pittsburgh ยท ACC Network
BYU at Iowa State ยท FOX
San Diego State at Fresno State ยท FS1
UL Monroe at Southern Miss ยท ESPN+
Florida Atlantic at Navy ยท CBSSN
Temple at Tulsa ยท ESPN+
Ball State at Northern Illinois ยท ESPN+
Massachusetts at Central Michigan ยท ESPN+
Western Michigan at Miami (OH) ยท ESPN+
Baylor at Cincinnati ยท ESPN2
Oklahoma State at Texas Tech ยท ESPNU
Texas at Mississippi State ยท SEC Network
TCU at West Virginia ยท ESPN+
Wisconsin at Oregon ยท FS1
Stanford at Miami ยท ESPN
Georgia Southern at Arkansas State ยท ESPN+
Louisiana at Troy ยท ESPN+
Texas A&M at LSU ยท ABC
Michigan at Michigan State ยท NBC
Boston College at Louisville ยท ACC Network
Colorado State at Wyoming ยท CBSSN
Tennessee at Kentucky ยท SEC Network
Houston at Arizona State ยท ESPN2
Colorado at Utah ยท ESPN
The rooting list was:Missouri State, then Middle Tennessee.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 9, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 9). How the model works.