๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

Missouri State Bears

7โ€“4 ยท 5โ€“2 CONFERENCE USA
In the books
WEEK 14 ยท 2025
The Week 14 recap

Missouri State lost to Louisiana Tech. Playoff odds moved from 0% to 0%.

Missouri State is out of the playoff race.

Your game

Louisiana Tech at Missouri State
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CUSA title-game chanceEntering11%Win19%Loss0%
Louisiana Tech
Louisiana Tech 44%Missouri State 56%
Missouri State
Final ยท Louisiana Tech 42โ€“30 Missouri StateWent the other way โœ—

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Missouri State wanted
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Impact 1
Rooted for
Western Kentucky
at
Jacksonville State
Final ยท Western Kentucky 34โ€“37 Jacksonville StateWent the other way โœ—
Projected 39.2-point title-game boost

Jacksonville State won instead, so Missouri State did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection39% if Western Kentucky won0% with the other result39-point differenceMissouri State CUSA title-game chance
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Impact 2
Kennesaw State
at
Rooted for
Liberty
Final ยท Kennesaw State 48โ€“42 LibertyWent the other way โœ—
Projected 15.0-point title-game boost

Kennesaw State won instead, so Missouri State did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection15% if Liberty won0% with the other result15-point differenceMissouri State CUSA title-game chance
64 other games had little impact
Bowling Green at Massachusetts ยท ESPNU
Western Michigan at Eastern Michigan ยท ESPN2
Navy at Memphis ยท ESPN
Ole Miss at Mississippi State ยท ABC
Iowa at Nebraska ยท CBS
Utah at Kansas ยท ESPN
Ohio at Buffalo ยท ESPNU
Kent State at Northern Illinois ยท CBSSN
Air Force at Colorado State ยท FS1
Georgia at Georgia Tech ยท ABC
San Diego State at New Mexico ยท CBSSN
Temple at North Texas ยท ESPN
Boise State at Utah State ยท CBS
Texas A&M at Texas ยท ABC
Indiana at Purdue ยท NBC
Arizona at Arizona State ยท FOX
Kentucky at Louisville ยท ACC Network
Clemson at South Carolina ยท SEC Network
Ohio State at Michigan ยท FOX
Miami at Pittsburgh ยท ABC
Houston at Baylor ยท TNT
Colorado at Kansas State ยท FS1
Iowa State at Oklahoma State ยท ESPNU
Texas Tech at West Virginia ยท ESPN
East Carolina at Florida Atlantic ยท ESPN+
Toledo at Central Michigan ยท ESPN+
Ball State at Miami (OH) ยท CBSSN
UCF at BYU ยท ESPN2
UTEP at Delaware ยท ESPN+
Florida International at Sam Houston ยท ESPN+
Georgia Southern at Marshall ยท ESPN+
Georgia State at Old Dominion ยท ESPN+
Arkansas State at App State ยท ESPN+
Boston College at Syracuse ยท The CW Network
Middle Tennessee at New Mexico State ยท ESPN+
UL Monroe at Louisiana ยท ESPN+
South Alabama at Texas State ยท ESPN+
UAB at Tulsa ยท ESPN+
Missouri at Arkansas ยท SEC Network
LSU at Oklahoma ยท ABC
Vanderbilt at Tennessee ยท ESPN
Oregon at Washington ยท CBS
Wisconsin at Minnesota ยท FS1
Penn State at Rutgers ยท BTN
Wake Forest at Duke ยท ACC Network
Cincinnati at TCU ยท FOX
Troy at Southern Miss ยท ESPN+
Army at UTSA ยท ESPN+
James Madison at Coastal Carolina ยท ESPNU
Florida State at Florida ยท ESPN2
Oregon State at Washington State ยท The CW Network
Maryland at Michigan State ยท FS1
Virginia Tech at Virginia ยท ESPN
Rice at South Florida ยท ESPN+
Alabama at Auburn ยท ABC
UCLA at USC ยท NBC
Northwestern at Illinois ยท FOX
North Carolina at NC State ยท ACC Network
Charlotte at Tulane ยท ESPNU
SMU at California ยท ESPN2
UNLV at Nevada ยท CBSSN
Notre Dame at Stanford ยท ESPN
Fresno State at San Josรฉ State ยท FS1
Wyoming at Hawai'i
The rooting list was:Missouri State, then Western Kentucky, Liberty.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 14, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 14). How the model works.