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New Mexico Lobos

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In the books
WEEK 6 · 2025
The Week 6 recap

New Mexico lost to San José State. Playoff odds moved from <1% to <1%.

Your game

New Mexico at San José State
MW title-game chanceEntering7%Win13%Loss3%
New Mexico
New Mexico 39%San José State 61%
San José State
Final · New Mexico 2835 San José StateWent the other way ✗

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result New Mexico wanted
Impact 1
UNLV
at
Rooted for
Wyoming
Final · UNLV 3117 WyomingWent the other way ✗
Projected 2.3-point title-game boost

UNLV won instead, so New Mexico did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection9% if Wyoming won6% with the other result2.3-point differenceNew Mexico MW title-game chance
48 other games had little impact
Nevada at Fresno State · CBSSN
Sam Houston at New Mexico State · CBSSN
Western Kentucky at Delaware · CBSSN
Charlotte at South Florida · ESPN2
West Virginia at BYU · ESPN
Colorado State at San Diego State · CBSSN
Kentucky at Georgia · ABC
Wisconsin at Michigan · FOX
Illinois at Purdue · BTN
Boston College at Pittsburgh · ACC Network
Clemson at North Carolina · ESPN
Kansas State at Baylor · ESPN+
Iowa State at Cincinnati · ESPN2
Air Force at Navy · CBS
Army at UAB · ESPNU
Ohio at Ball State · CBSSN
Wake Forest at Virginia Tech · The CW Network
UTSA at Temple · ESPN+
Western Michigan at Massachusetts · ESPN+
Oklahoma State at Arizona · truTV
Vanderbilt at Alabama · ABC
Texas at Florida · ESPN
Penn State at UCLA · CBS
Washington at Maryland · BTN
UL Monroe at Northwestern · BTN
Oregon State at App State · ESPN+
Virginia at Louisville · ESPN2
Syracuse at SMU · ACC Network
Boise State at Notre Dame · NBC
Florida International at UConn · CBSSN
James Madison at Georgia State · ESPN+
Central Michigan at Akron · ESPN+
Eastern Michigan at Buffalo · ESPN+
Miami (OH) at Northern Illinois · ESPN+
Kent State at Oklahoma · SEC Network
Michigan State at Nebraska · FS1
Texas State at Arkansas State · ESPNU
Coastal Carolina at Old Dominion · ESPN+
Texas Tech at Houston · ESPN
South Alabama at Troy · ESPN+
Florida Atlantic at Rice · ESPN+
Mississippi State at Texas A&M · SEC Network
Minnesota at Ohio State · NBC
Miami at Florida State · ABC
Colorado at TCU · FOX
Kansas at UCF · ESPN2
Tulsa at Memphis · ESPNU
Duke at California · ESPN
The rooting list was:New Mexico, then Wyoming.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 6, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 6). How the model works.