๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

New Mexico Lobos

8โ€“3 ยท 5โ€“2 MOUNTAIN WEST
In the books
WEEK 14 ยท 2025
The Week 14 recap

New Mexico beat San Diego State. Playoff odds moved from <1% to 0%.

Your game

San Diego State at New Mexico
โ€ฆ
โ€ฆ
MW title-game chanceEntering28%Win50%Loss0%
San Diego State
San Diego State 44%New Mexico 56%
New Mexico
Final ยท San Diego State 17โ€“23 New MexicoWish granted โœ“

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result New Mexico wanted
โ€ฆ
โ€ฆ
Impact 1
Boise State
at
Rooted for
Utah State
Final ยท Boise State 25โ€“24 Utah StateWent the other way โœ—
Projected 45.9-point title-game boost

Boise State won instead, so New Mexico did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection56% if Utah State won10% with the other result46-point differenceNew Mexico MW title-game chance
โ€ฆ
โ€ฆ
Impact 2
UNLV
at
Rooted for
Nevada
Final ยท UNLV 42โ€“17 NevadaWent the other way โœ—
Projected 33.5-point title-game boost

UNLV won instead, so New Mexico did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection55% if Nevada won22% with the other result33-point differenceNew Mexico MW title-game chance
64 other games had little impact
Bowling Green at Massachusetts ยท ESPNU
Western Michigan at Eastern Michigan ยท ESPN2
Navy at Memphis ยท ESPN
Ole Miss at Mississippi State ยท ABC
Iowa at Nebraska ยท CBS
Utah at Kansas ยท ESPN
Ohio at Buffalo ยท ESPNU
Kent State at Northern Illinois ยท CBSSN
Air Force at Colorado State ยท FS1
Georgia at Georgia Tech ยท ABC
Temple at North Texas ยท ESPN
Texas A&M at Texas ยท ABC
Indiana at Purdue ยท NBC
Arizona at Arizona State ยท FOX
Kentucky at Louisville ยท ACC Network
Clemson at South Carolina ยท SEC Network
Ohio State at Michigan ยท FOX
Miami at Pittsburgh ยท ABC
Houston at Baylor ยท TNT
Colorado at Kansas State ยท FS1
Iowa State at Oklahoma State ยท ESPNU
Texas Tech at West Virginia ยท ESPN
East Carolina at Florida Atlantic ยท ESPN+
Toledo at Central Michigan ยท ESPN+
Ball State at Miami (OH) ยท CBSSN
UCF at BYU ยท ESPN2
UTEP at Delaware ยท ESPN+
Florida International at Sam Houston ยท ESPN+
Georgia Southern at Marshall ยท ESPN+
Western Kentucky at Jacksonville State ยท ESPN+
Louisiana Tech at Missouri State ยท ESPN+
Georgia State at Old Dominion ยท ESPN+
Arkansas State at App State ยท ESPN+
Boston College at Syracuse ยท The CW Network
Middle Tennessee at New Mexico State ยท ESPN+
UL Monroe at Louisiana ยท ESPN+
South Alabama at Texas State ยท ESPN+
UAB at Tulsa ยท ESPN+
Missouri at Arkansas ยท SEC Network
LSU at Oklahoma ยท ABC
Vanderbilt at Tennessee ยท ESPN
Oregon at Washington ยท CBS
Wisconsin at Minnesota ยท FS1
Penn State at Rutgers ยท BTN
Wake Forest at Duke ยท ACC Network
Cincinnati at TCU ยท FOX
Kennesaw State at Liberty ยท CBSSN
Troy at Southern Miss ยท ESPN+
Army at UTSA ยท ESPN+
James Madison at Coastal Carolina ยท ESPNU
Florida State at Florida ยท ESPN2
Oregon State at Washington State ยท The CW Network
Maryland at Michigan State ยท FS1
Virginia Tech at Virginia ยท ESPN
Rice at South Florida ยท ESPN+
Alabama at Auburn ยท ABC
UCLA at USC ยท NBC
Northwestern at Illinois ยท FOX
North Carolina at NC State ยท ACC Network
Charlotte at Tulane ยท ESPNU
SMU at California ยท ESPN2
Notre Dame at Stanford ยท ESPN
Fresno State at San Josรฉ State ยท FS1
Wyoming at Hawai'i
The rooting list was:New Mexico, then Utah State, Nevada.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 14, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 14). How the model works.