๐Ÿˆ Fan Watch

#6Georgia Bulldogs

2โ€“0 ยท 0โ€“0 SEC
In the books
WEEK 3 ยท 2025
The Week 3 recap

Georgia beat Tennessee. Playoff odds moved from 91% to 91%.

Your game

Georgia at Tennessee
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SEC title-game chanceEntering72%Win82%Loss47%
Georgia
Georgia 73%Tennessee 27%
Tennessee
Final ยท Georgia 44โ€“41 TennesseeWish granted โœ“

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Georgia wanted
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Impact 1
Rooted for
Arkansas
at
Ole Miss
Final ยท Arkansas 35โ€“41 Ole MissWent the other way โœ—
Projected 3.2-point title-game boost

Ole Miss won instead, so Georgia did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection75% if Arkansas won72% with the other result3.2-point differenceGeorgia SEC title-game chance
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Impact 2
Rooted for
Texas A&M
at
Notre Dame
Final ยท Texas A&M 41โ€“40 Notre DameWish granted โœ“
Projected 3.7-point first-round-bye boost

Texas A&M won, helping protect Georgia's path to a top-four seed and first-round bye.

Entering-week projection61% if Texas A&M won57% with the other result3.7-point differenceGeorgia first-round bye chance
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Impact 3
Rooted for
Florida
at
LSU
Final ยท Florida 10โ€“20 LSUWent the other way โœ—
Projected 1.9-point title-game boost

LSU won instead, so Georgia did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection74% if Florida won72% with the other result1.9-point differenceGeorgia SEC title-game chance
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Impact 4
Rooted for
Ohio
at
Ohio State
Final ยท Ohio 9โ€“37 Ohio StateWent the other way โœ—
Projected 2.2-point first-round-bye boost

Ohio State won instead, so Georgia did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection59% if Ohio won57% with the other result2.2-point differenceGeorgia first-round bye chance
42 other games had little impact
Western Michigan at Illinois ยท FS1
Louisiana at Missouri ยท ESPN+
NC State at Wake Forest ยท ESPN
Colorado at Houston ยท ESPN
Kansas State at Arizona ยท FOX
New Mexico at UCLA ยท BTN
Wisconsin at Alabama ยท ABC
Oklahoma at Temple ยท ESPN2
Oregon at Northwestern ยท FOX
Central Michigan at Michigan ยท BTN
Clemson at Georgia Tech ยท ESPN
Memphis at Troy ยท ESPNU
Buffalo at Kent State ยท CBSSN
South Alabama at Auburn ยท SEC Network
UConn at Delaware ยท ESPN+
USC at Purdue ยท CBS
Oregon State at Texas Tech ยท FOX
Washington State at North Texas ยท ESPNU
SMU at Missouri State ยท CBSSN
Pittsburgh at West Virginia ยท ESPN
Iowa State at Arkansas State ยท ESPN2
UTEP at Texas ยท SEC Network
South Florida at Miami ยท The CW Network
Liberty at Bowling Green ยท ESPN+
Middle Tennessee at Nevada
Florida Atlantic at Florida International ยท ESPN+
Old Dominion at Virginia Tech ยท ACC Network
Jacksonville State at Georgia Southern ยท ESPN+
App State at Southern Miss ยท ESPN+
Eastern Michigan at Kentucky ยท ESPNU
Massachusetts at Iowa ยท BTN
New Mexico State at Louisiana Tech ยท ESPN+
East Carolina at Coastal Carolina ยท ESPN+
Vanderbilt at South Carolina ยท SEC Network
Duke at Tulane ยท ESPN2
Utah at Wyoming ยท CBSSN
Navy at Tulsa ยท ESPN+
Akron at UAB ยท ESPN+
Air Force at Utah State ยท FS1
Minnesota at California ยท ESPN
Boston College at Stanford ยท ACC Network
Texas State at Arizona State ยท TNT
The rooting list was:Georgia, then Arkansas, Texas A&M, Florida, Ohio.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 3, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 3). How the model works.