🏈 Fan Watch

#5Georgia Bulldogs

7–1 · 5–1 SEC
In the books
WEEK 11 · 2025
The Week 11 recap

Georgia beat Mississippi State. Playoff odds moved from 85% to 82%.

Your game

Georgia at Mississippi State
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ESPN
SEC title-game chanceEntering59%Win65%Loss3%
Georgia
Georgia 91%Mississippi State 9%
Mississippi State
Final · Georgia 41–21 Mississippi StateWish granted ✓

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Georgia wanted
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ABC
Impact 1
Texas A&M
at
Rooted for
Missouri
Final · Texas A&M 38–17 MissouriWent the other way ✗
Projected 15.6-point title-game boost

Texas A&M won instead, so Georgia did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection67% if Missouri won51% with the other result16-point differenceGeorgia SEC title-game chance
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NBC
Impact 2
Rooted for
Navy
at
Notre Dame
Final · Navy 10–49 Notre DameWent the other way ✗
Projected 4.2-point playoff boost

Notre Dame won instead, so Georgia did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection89% if Navy won85% with the other result4.2-point differenceGeorgia playoff chance
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ABC
Impact 3
Rooted for
LSU
at
Alabama
Final · LSU 9–20 AlabamaWent the other way ✗
Projected 3.8-point title-game boost

Alabama won instead, so Georgia did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection62% if LSU won59% with the other result3.8-point differenceGeorgia SEC title-game chance
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FOX
Impact 4
Rooted for
Northwestern
at
USC
Final · Northwestern 17–38 USCWent the other way ✗
Projected 1.5-point playoff boost

USC won instead, so Georgia did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection86% if Northwestern won85% with the other result1.5-point differenceGeorgia playoff chance
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FOX
Impact 5
Indiana
at
Rooted for
Penn State
Final · Indiana 27–24 Penn StateWent the other way ✗
Projected 2.3-point first-round-bye boost

Indiana won instead, so Georgia did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection39% if Penn State won37% with the other result2.3-point differenceGeorgia first-round bye chance
45 other games had little impact
Oregon at Iowa · CBS
Massachusetts at Akron · CBSSN
Miami (OH) at Ohio · ESPN2
Kent State at Ball State · ESPNU
Northern Illinois at Toledo · ESPN2
Georgia Southern at App State · ESPN2
UTSA at South Florida · ESPN
Houston at UCF · FS1
Tulane at Memphis · ESPN
SMU at Boston College · ACC Network
BYU at Texas Tech · ABC
Colorado at West Virginia · TNT
James Madison at Marshall · ESPN2
Southern Miss at Arkansas State · ESPNU
Temple at Army · CBSSN
Ohio State at Purdue · BTN
Missouri State at Liberty · ESPN+
Bowling Green at Eastern Michigan · ESPN+
UAB at Rice · ESPN+
Maryland at Rutgers · FS1
Louisiana Tech at Delaware · ESPN+
Florida International at Middle Tennessee · ESPN+
Jacksonville State at UTEP · ESPN+
Charlotte at East Carolina · ESPN+
Tulsa at Florida Atlantic · ESPN+
Syracuse at Miami · ESPN
Duke at UConn · CBSSN
Kansas at Arizona · ESPN2
Iowa State at TCU · FOX
Auburn at Vanderbilt · SEC Network
Kennesaw State at New Mexico State · ESPN+
Georgia State at Coastal Carolina · ESPN+
Washington at Wisconsin · BTN
Stanford at North Carolina · The CW Network
Texas State at Louisiana · ESPN+
Air Force at San José State · FS1
California at Louisville · ESPN2
Florida State at Clemson · ACC Network
Wake Forest at Virginia · ESPN
Florida at Kentucky · SEC Network
Nevada at Utah State · CBSSN
Nebraska at UCLA · FOX
UNLV at Colorado State · FS1
Sam Houston at Oregon State · The CW Network
San Diego State at Hawai'i
The rooting list was:Georgia, then Missouri, Navy, LSU, Northwestern, Penn State.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 11, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 11). How the model works.