🏈 Fan Watch

#5Georgia Bulldogs

6–1 · 4–1 SEC
In the books
WEEK 10 · 2025
The Week 10 recap

Georgia beat Florida. Playoff odds moved from 90% to 85%.

Your game

Georgia at Florida
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ABC
SEC title-game chanceEntering55%Win61%Loss4%
Georgia
Georgia 90%Florida 10%
Florida
Final · Georgia 24–20 FloridaWish granted ✓

Other impactful games

the highlighted team was the result Georgia wanted
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CBS
Impact 1
Indiana
at
Rooted for
Maryland
Final · Indiana 55–10 MarylandWent the other way ✗
Projected 4.1-point first-round-bye boost

Indiana won instead, so Georgia did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection51% if Maryland won47% with the other result4.1-point differenceGeorgia first-round bye chance
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ABC
Impact 2
Vanderbilt
at
Rooted for
Texas
Final · Vanderbilt 31–34 TexasWish granted ✓
Projected 1.9-point playoff boost

Texas won and stayed ranked ahead of its Week 12 game against Georgia.

Entering-week projection91% if Texas won89% with the other result1.9-point differenceGeorgia playoff chance
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FOX
Impact 3
Rooted for
Penn State
at
Ohio State
Final · Penn State 14–38 Ohio StateWent the other way ✗
Projected 2.4-point first-round-bye boost

Ohio State won instead, so Georgia did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection49% if Penn State won47% with the other result2.4-point differenceGeorgia first-round bye chance
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SEC Network
Impact 4
Rooted for
Mississippi State
at
Arkansas
Final · Mississippi State 38–35 ArkansasWish granted ✓
Projected 2.4-point first-round-bye boost

Mississippi State won, helping protect Georgia's path to a top-four seed and first-round bye.

Entering-week projection49% if Mississippi State won47% with the other result2.4-point differenceGeorgia first-round bye chance
47 other games had little impact
Miami at SMU · ESPN
UTEP at Kennesaw State · ESPNU
James Madison at Texas State · ESPN2
Jacksonville State at Middle Tennessee · ESPN2
Florida International at Missouri State · CBSSN
Marshall at Coastal Carolina · ESPN2
Tulane at UTSA · ESPN
Memphis at Rice · ESPN2
North Carolina at Syracuse · ESPN
Sam Houston at Louisiana Tech · CBSSN
Rutgers at Illinois · NBC
Duke at Clemson · ACC Network
UCF at Baylor · ESPNU
West Virginia at Houston · FS1
UAB at UConn · CBSSN
Army at Air Force · CBS
Navy at North Texas · ESPN2
Buffalo at Bowling Green · ESPN+
Arizona State at Iowa State · TNT
East Carolina at Temple · ESPN+
Louisville at Virginia Tech · The CW Network
New Mexico at UNLV
Michigan State at Minnesota · BTN
Pittsburgh at Stanford · ACC Network
Notre Dame at Boston College · ESPN
Texas Tech at Kansas State · FOX
Delaware at Liberty · CBSSN
New Mexico State at Western Kentucky · ESPN+
Fresno State at Boise State · FS1
Old Dominion at UL Monroe · ESPN+
Louisiana at South Alabama · ESPN+
Virginia at California · ESPN2
Oklahoma State at Kansas · ESPN+
Central Michigan at Western Michigan · ESPNU
South Carolina at Ole Miss · ESPN
Purdue at Michigan · BTN
Arizona at Colorado · FS1
Wyoming at San Diego State · CBSSN
Kentucky at Auburn · SEC Network
Oklahoma at Tennessee · ABC
USC at Nebraska · NBC
Washington State at Oregon State · CBS
Wake Forest at Florida State · ACC Network
Georgia Tech at NC State · ESPN2
Arkansas State at Troy · ESPNU
Cincinnati at Utah · ESPN
Hawai'i at San José State · CBSSN
The rooting list was:Georgia, then Maryland, Texas, Penn State, Mississippi State.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 10, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 10). How the model works.