#5Georgia Bulldogs

8–1 · 6–1 SEC

In the books

WEEK 12 · 2025

The Week 12 recap

Georgia beat Texas. Playoff odds moved from 82% to 95%.

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ABC

SEC title-game chanceEntering52%Win72%Loss<1%

Texas

Texas 28%Georgia 72%

Georgia

Final · Texas 10–35 GeorgiaWish granted ✓

By impactBy kickoff

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ESPN

Impact 1

Rooted for

South Carolina

at

Texas A&M

Final · South Carolina 30–31 Texas A&MWent the other way ✗

Projected 22.7-point title-game boost

Texas A&M won instead, so Georgia did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection72% if South Carolina won49% with the other result23-point differenceGeorgia SEC title-game chance

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ABC

Impact 2

Rooted for

Oklahoma

at

Alabama

Final · Oklahoma 23–21 AlabamaWish granted ✓

Projected 8.0-point title-game boost

Alabama lost, improving Georgia's place in the SEC standings.

Entering-week projection58% if Oklahoma won50% with the other result8-point differenceGeorgia SEC title-game chance

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ABC

Impact 3

Notre Dame

at

Rooted for

Pittsburgh

Final · Notre Dame 37–15 PittsburghWent the other way ✗

Projected 3.2-point playoff boost

Notre Dame won instead, so Georgia did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection85% if Pittsburgh won82% with the other result3.2-point differenceGeorgia playoff chance

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ESPN

Impact 4

Rooted for

Florida

at

Ole Miss

Final · Florida 24–34 Ole MissWent the other way ✗

Projected 3.0-point playoff boost

Ole Miss won instead, so Georgia did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection85% if Florida won82% with the other result3-point differenceGeorgia playoff chance

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ESPN

Impact 5

Rooted for

NC State

at

Miami

Final · NC State 7–41 MiamiWent the other way ✗

Projected 2.8-point playoff boost

Miami won instead, so Georgia did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection85% if NC State won82% with the other result2.8-point differenceGeorgia playoff chance

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FOX

Impact 6

Rooted for

Minnesota

at

Oregon

Final · Minnesota 13–42 OregonWent the other way ✗

Projected 2.6-point playoff boost

Oregon won instead, so Georgia did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection85% if Minnesota won82% with the other result2.6-point differenceGeorgia playoff chance

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FOX

Impact 7

Rooted for

UCF

at

Texas Tech

Final · UCF 9–48 Texas TechWent the other way ✗

Projected 2.0-point playoff boost

Texas Tech won instead, so Georgia did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection84% if UCF won82% with the other result2-point differenceGeorgia playoff chance

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ESPN2

Impact 8

Utah

at

Rooted for

Baylor

Final · Utah 55–28 BaylorWent the other way ✗

Projected 1.8-point playoff boost

Utah won instead, so Georgia did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection84% if Baylor won82% with the other result1.8-point differenceGeorgia playoff chance

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SEC Network

Impact 9

Rooted for

Mississippi State

at

Missouri

Final · Mississippi State 27–49 MissouriWent the other way ✗

Projected 2.8-point title-game boost

Missouri won instead, so Georgia did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection54% if Mississippi State won51% with the other result2.8-point differenceGeorgia SEC title-game chance

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ESPN

Impact 10

Rooted for

TCU

at

BYU

Final · TCU 13–44 BYUWent the other way ✗

Projected 1.3-point playoff boost

BYU won instead, so Georgia did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection83% if TCU won82% with the other result1.3-point differenceGeorgia playoff chance

47 other games had little impact

Georgia Tech at Boston College · ACC Network

Kent State at Akron · ESPNU

Ohio at Western Michigan · ESPN2

Buffalo at Central Michigan · CBSSN

Northern Illinois at Massachusetts · ESPNU

Toledo at Miami (OH) · ESPN2

Troy at Old Dominion · ESPN

Clemson at Louisville · ESPN

Wisconsin at Indiana · BTN

Michigan at Northwestern · FOX

Arizona at Cincinnati · FS1

Kansas State at Oklahoma State · ESPNU

Air Force at UConn · CBSSN

UTSA at Charlotte · ESPN+

South Florida at Navy · ESPN2

Eastern Michigan at Ball State · ESPN+

Arkansas at LSU · SEC Network

Oregon State at Tulsa · The CW Network

West Virginia at Arizona State · truTV

Marshall at Georgia State · ESPN+

North Texas at UAB · ESPN+

UTEP at Missouri State · ESPN+

Colorado State at New Mexico

Penn State at Michigan State · CBS

Maryland at Illinois · FS1

Iowa at USC · BTN

Virginia at Duke · ESPN2

Middle Tennessee at Western Kentucky · ESPN+

San José State at Nevada · CBSSN

App State at James Madison · ESPN+

South Alabama at UL Monroe · ESPN+

Texas State at Southern Miss · ESPN+

Memphis at East Carolina · ESPNU

Florida Atlantic at Tulane · ESPN+

New Mexico State at Tennessee · SEC Network

North Carolina at Wake Forest · The CW Network

Liberty at Florida International · ESPN+

Coastal Carolina at Georgia Southern · ESPN+

Purdue at Washington · FS1

Delaware at Sam Houston · ESPN+

Utah State at UNLV · CBSSN

UCLA at Ohio State · NBC

Virginia Tech at Florida State · ACC Network

Kennesaw State at Jacksonville State · ESPNU

Louisiana Tech at Washington State · The CW Network

Boise State at San Diego State · CBSSN

Wyoming at Fresno State · FS1

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 12, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 12). How the model works.